ARMY
BLACK KNIGHTSARMY
11-19 | Road
77
LAFAYETTE
LEOPARDSLAF
10-20 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
BLACK KNIGHTS
100%
LEOPARDS
0%
BLACK KNIGHTS
--
LEOPARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LAFAYETTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Lafayette)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAF)
ARMY By 1-7 points
24.3%
ARMY By 8-14 points
13.7%
LAF By 1-7 points
26.2%
LAF By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Army
77
ARMY
Lafayette
78
LAFAYETTE
Simulated Score
Army
68
ARMY
Lafayette
72
LAFAYETTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Leopards
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Leopards
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Leopards (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Leopards (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
ARMY @ LAF
77 - 83
Feb 7, 2026
LAF @ ARMY
63 - 60
Feb 25, 2025
ARMY @ LAF
65 - 81
Jan 15, 2025
LAF @ ARMY
68 - 70
Feb 3, 2024
LAF @ ARMY
64 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+63.5% more
Lafayette: 2.2
vs
Army: 1.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.6%
Lafayette: 46.1%
vs
Army: 40.5%
Steals (L5)
+49.2% more
Army: 7.1
vs
Lafayette: 3.6
Turnovers (L5)
+35.4% more
Army: 12.7
vs
Lafayette: 8.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARMY Score
77.0
77
LAF Score
78.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.6 / 31.5
32.0 / 34.0
Assists
13.6 / 16.8
17.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.2 / 1.4
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 40.5
49.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
65.1 / 73.1
79.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
32.0 / 32.4
32.0 / 30.0
Steals
3.6 / 7.1
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
8.2 / 12.7
10.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARMY
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
LAF
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARMY
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
LAF
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +3.3
LAF
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAF
ARMY
LAF
ARMY
ML
53%
17-15
44%
14-18
59%
19-13
50%
16-16
ATS
56%
18-14
44%
14-18
59%
19-13
50%
16-16
TTL
50%
16-16
81%
26-6
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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