SEATTLE U
REDHAWKSSEA
18-12 | Road
71
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
LIONSLMU
15-15 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
100%
LIONS
0%
REDHAWKS
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Loyola Marymount)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LMU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LMU)
SEA By 1-7 points
20.1%
SEA By 8-14 points
9.3%
LMU By 1-7 points
27.4%
LMU By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle U
67
SEATTLE U
Loyola Marymount
71
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Simulated Score
Seattle U
71
SEATTLE U
Loyola Marymount
76
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lions
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lions (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o135.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u135.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
SEA @ LMU
71 - 66
Jan 21, 2026
LMU @ SEA
59 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.5%
Loyola Marymount: 77.8%
vs
Seattle U: 72.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.3%
Loyola Marymount: 46.7%
vs
Seattle U: 44.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.8%
Loyola Marymount: 34.0%
vs
Seattle U: 32.3%
Blocks (L5)
+43.3% more
Seattle U: 4.9
vs
Loyola Marymount: 2.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
67.0
71
LMU Score
71.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 32.3
47.0 / 39.0
Assists
13.0 / 12.6
11.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.8 / 4.9
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.7 / 44.3
50.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
77.8 / 72.3
76.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
29.7 / 31.3
31.0 / 26.0
Steals
7.4 / 8.6
2.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
9.0 / 10.0
12.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
LMU
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
Advantage
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
LMU
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -4.8
LMU
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LMU
SEA
LMU
SEA
ML
53%
17-15
46%
16-19
50%
16-16
71%
24-10
ATS
47%
15-17
57%
20-15
50%
16-16
71%
24-10
TTL
62%
20-12
49%
17-18
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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