SAN FRANCISCO
DONSSF
15-15 | Road
72
PACIFIC
TIGERSPAC
17-13 | Home
61
AI Model Win Probability
DONS
100%
TIGERS
0%
DONS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
PACIFIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Pacific)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PAC -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PAC)
SF By 1-7 points
18.6%
SF By 8-14 points
8.0%
PAC By 1-7 points
27.2%
PAC By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
San Francisco
67
SAN FRANCISCO
Pacific
72
PACIFIC
Simulated Score
San Francisco
76
SAN FRANCISCO
Pacific
64
PACIFIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Dons (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
SF @ PAC
72 - 61
Jan 31, 2026
PAC @ SF
82 - 87
Feb 20, 2025
PAC @ SF
58 - 71
Jan 2, 2025
SF @ PAC
89 - 81
Feb 3, 2024
PAC @ SF
73 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+23.1% more
Pacific: 35.8
vs
San Francisco: 29.0
Assists (L5)
+8.3% more
Pacific: 13.5
vs
San Francisco: 12.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.0%
Pacific: 39.9%
vs
San Francisco: 32.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.8%
Pacific: 45.8%
vs
San Francisco: 43.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SF Score
67.0
72
PAC Score
72.0
61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.9 / 32.9
12.0 / 43.0
Assists
13.5 / 12.5
15.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.0 / 2.7
0.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 43.0
40.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
73.1 / 74.5
58.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
35.8 / 29.0
43.0 / 29.0
Steals
3.2 / 4.6
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 12.7
12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: -2.4
PAC
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: -2.4
PAC
Advantage
16-14-1
(53.3%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +1.1
PAC
10-19-2
O: 34.5% / U: 65.5%
Total +/-: -2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PAC
SF
PAC
SF
ML
45%
15-18
39%
13-20
80%
24-6
64%
21-12
ATS
55%
18-15
42%
14-19
80%
24-6
64%
21-12
TTL
58%
19-14
73%
24-9
100%
30-0
100%
33-0
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