FURMAN
PALADINSFUR
19-11 | Road
67
WESTERN CAROLINA
CATAMOUNTSWCU
13-15 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
PALADINS
100%
CATAMOUNTS
0%
PALADINS
--
CATAMOUNTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
WESTERN CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Western Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WCU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WCU)
FUR By 1-7 points
16.9%
FUR By 8-14 points
6.8%
WCU By 1-7 points
26.8%
WCU By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Furman
65
FURMAN
Western Carolina
71
WESTERN CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Furman
72
FURMAN
Western Carolina
76
WESTERN CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Catamounts
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Catamounts (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
FUR @ WCU
67 - 86
Jan 3, 2026
WCU @ FUR
80 - 77
Feb 5, 2025
WCU @ FUR
75 - 84
Jan 1, 2025
FUR @ WCU
90 - 61
Mar 9, 2024
FUR @ WCU
79 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+59.0% more
Western Carolina: 5.6
vs
Furman: 3.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.6%
Western Carolina: 82.0%
vs
Furman: 74.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
Western Carolina: 34.2%
vs
Furman: 31.3%
Blocks (L5)
+33.3% more
Furman: 3.1
vs
Western Carolina: 2.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FUR Score
65.0
67
WCU Score
71.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.2 / 31.3
39.0 / 35.0
Assists
11.7 / 14.0
11.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.0 / 3.1
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 45.2
51.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
82.0 / 74.4
59.0 / 25.0
Rebounding
35.4 / 41.4
40.0 / 26.0
Steals
5.6 / 3.5
3.0 / 0.0
Turnovers
9.0 / 10.8
4.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FUR
Advantage
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
WCU
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FUR
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
WCU
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
FUR
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.9
WCU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WCU
FUR
WCU
FUR
ML
63%
19-11
71%
25-10
76%
22-7
62%
21-13
ATS
73%
22-8
63%
22-13
77%
23-7
62%
21-13
TTL
67%
20-10
57%
20-15
100%
30-0
100%
34-0
