AI Model Win Probability
BLUE HENS
100%
OWLS
0%
BLUE HENS
--
OWLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
KENNESAW STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Kennesaw State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KENN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENN)
DEL By 1-7 points
24.3%
DEL By 8-14 points
13.7%
KENN By 1-7 points
26.2%
KENN By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Delaware
63
DELAWARE
Kennesaw State
64
KENNESAW STATE
Simulated Score
Delaware
72
DELAWARE
Kennesaw State
75
KENNESAW STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Owls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Owls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Owls (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Owls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u141.5
Loss
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
DEL @ KENN
82 - 90
Jan 4, 2026
KENN @ DEL
52 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+151.5% more
Kennesaw State: 5.9
vs
Delaware: 2.3
Steals (L5)
+39.1% more
Kennesaw State: 7.5
vs
Delaware: 5.4
Assists (L5)
+39.0% more
Kennesaw State: 13.8
vs
Delaware: 9.9
Rebounding (L5)
+13.8% more
Kennesaw State: 32.5
vs
Delaware: 28.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEL Score
63.0
82
KENN Score
64.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.2 / 35.8
43.0 / 46.0
Assists
13.8 / 9.9
19.0 / 11.0
Blocks
5.9 / 2.3
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 46.2
57.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
62.9 / 82.6
71.0 / 96.0
Rebounding
32.5 / 28.5
30.0 / 19.0
Steals
7.5 / 5.4
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 10.7
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEL
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -6.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
KENN
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEL
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -6.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
KENN
15-16-1
(48.4%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
DEL
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.0
KENN
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENN
DEL
KENN
DEL
ML
74%
25-9
45%
14-17
72%
23-9
52%
16-15
ATS
71%
24-10
61%
19-12
73%
24-9
52%
16-15
TTL
56%
19-15
65%
20-11
100%
33-0
100%
31-0