EASTERN ILLINOIS
PANTHERSEIU
12-18 | Road
50
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
COUGARSSIUE
18-12 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
COUGARS
0%
PANTHERS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (SIU Edwardsville)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SIUE -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIUE)
EIU By 1-7 points
24.3%
EIU By 8-14 points
13.7%
SIUE By 1-7 points
26.2%
SIUE By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Illinois
73
EASTERN ILLINOIS
SIU Edwardsville
74
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Simulated Score
Eastern Illinois
68
EASTERN ILLINOIS
SIU Edwardsville
72
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o129.5
Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u129.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 4, 2026
EIU @ SIUE
77 - 71
Feb 28, 2026
EIU @ SIUE
50 - 77
Dec 18, 2025
SIUE @ EIU
72 - 76
Feb 4, 2025
EIU @ SIUE
41 - 66
Jan 7, 2025
SIUE @ EIU
60 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+13.6% more
SIU Edwardsville: 12.6
vs
Eastern Illinois: 11.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
SIU Edwardsville: 44.3%
vs
Eastern Illinois: 41.1%
Free Throw % (L5)
+19.0%
Eastern Illinois: 77.4%
vs
SIU Edwardsville: 58.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+14.7%
Eastern Illinois: 42.1%
vs
SIU Edwardsville: 27.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EIU Score
73.0
50
SIUE Score
74.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.4 / 42.1
44.0 / 16.0
Assists
10.9 / 12.3
21.0 / 6.0
Blocks
3.7 / 3.8
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 41.1
54.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
58.4 / 77.4
75.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
35.2 / 34.2
34.0 / 25.0
Steals
8.4 / 9.1
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 11.1
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EIU
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
SIUE
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 6.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EIU
Advantage
15-13-2
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
SIUE
15-14-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 6.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -1.7
SIUE
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIUE
EIU
SIUE
EIU
ML
65%
20-11
56%
18-14
60%
18-12
74%
23-8
ATS
55%
17-14
50%
16-16
60%
18-12
74%
23-8
TTL
48%
15-16
69%
22-10
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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