Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Bulldogs FIU @ LT

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL

PANTHERSFIU

13-15  |  Road

84
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 3:00 PM ET
Thomas Assembly Center
View Odds Details →

LOUISIANA TECH

BULLDOGSLT

16-12  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
PANTHERS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
LOUISIANA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Louisiana Tech)
PanthersFIU (-3.5) 0 BulldogsLT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

27.4%

Bulldogs Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LT -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LT)

FIU By 1-7 points

16.9%

FIU By 8-14 points

6.8%

LT By 1-7 points

26.8%

LT By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
69
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
75
LOUISIANA TECH
Simulated Score
65
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
77
LOUISIANA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (-2) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.0 Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u146.0 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 FIU @ LT 84 - 76
Feb 14, 2026 LT @ FIU 64 - 77
Feb 8, 2025 LT @ FIU 82 - 71
Jan 9, 2025 FIU @ LT 64 - 81
Feb 17, 2024 FIU @ LT 68 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +77.0% more
Louisiana Tech: 8.1 vs Florida International: 4.6
Assists (L5) +28.9% more
Louisiana Tech: 12.4 vs Florida International: 9.6
Turnovers (L5) +15.7% more
Louisiana Tech: 15.4 vs Florida International: 13.3
Steals (L5) +15.6% more
Louisiana Tech: 8.3 vs Florida International: 7.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FIU Score 69.0 84
LT Score 75.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.2 / 28.8 39.0 / 57.0
Assists 12.4 / 9.6 15.0 / 18.0
Blocks 8.1 / 4.6 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.3 / 43.1 47.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 66.2 / 74.1 73.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 35.3 / 32.2 34.0 / 28.0
Steals 8.3 / 7.2 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 15.4 / 13.3 19.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
25%MONEY75%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FIU
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
LT Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FIU
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
LT Advantage
17-13-1 (56.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
FIU
15-13-1
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +1.8
LT
15-15-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LT
FIU
LT
FIU
ML
58% 19-14
58% 18-13
72% 23-9
65% 20-11
ATS
61% 20-13
52% 16-15
72% 23-9
65% 20-11
TTL
61% 20-13
65% 20-11
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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