Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Titans @ Golden Grizzlies DETM @ OAK

DETROIT MERCY

TITANSDETM

14-14  |  Road

95
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 3:00 PM ET
OU Credit Union O'rena
View Odds Details →

OAKLAND

GOLDEN GRIZZLIESOAK

16-14  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
0%
📊
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
100%
TITANS --
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
OAKLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
TitansDETM (-3.5) 0 Golden GrizzliesOAK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Titans Cover

27.4%

Golden Grizzlies Cover

72.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OAK +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OAK)

DETM By 1-7 points

26.8%

DETM By 8-14 points

24.3%

OAK By 1-7 points

16.9%

OAK By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
77
DETROIT MERCY
71
OAKLAND
Simulated Score
65
DETROIT MERCY
82
OAKLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Titans Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Grizzlies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Grizzlies (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
D
Sim Golden Grizzlies (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u161.5 Loss
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 DETM @ OAK 95 - 89
Jan 24, 2026 OAK @ DETM 95 - 87
Feb 16, 2025 DETM @ OAK 83 - 93
Jan 18, 2025 OAK @ DETM 65 - 59
Mar 2, 2024 DETM @ OAK 70 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +15.6% more
Detroit Mercy: 4.6 vs Oakland: 3.9
Free Throw % (L5) +10.5%
Detroit Mercy: 83.6% vs Oakland: 73.1%
Turnovers (L5) +10.4% more
Detroit Mercy: 11.1 vs Oakland: 10.0
Steals (L5) +52.4% more
Oakland: 9.8 vs Detroit Mercy: 6.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DETM Score 77.0 95
OAK Score 71.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.8 / 35.9 42.0 / 38.0
Assists 16.3 / 12.0 18.0 / 22.0
Blocks 3.9 / 4.6 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 48.9 / 46.3 54.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 73.1 / 83.6 77.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 32.5 / 34.8 30.0 / 29.0
Steals 9.8 / 6.4 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.0 / 11.1 13.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
47%MONEY53%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DETM Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-: +3.7
OAK
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DETM Advantage
20-9-1 (69.0%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-: +3.7
OAK
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.3
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7% Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OAK
DETM
OAK
DETM
ML
62% 20-12
58% 18-13
59% 19-13
50% 15-15
ATS
50% 16-16
61% 19-12
59% 19-13
50% 15-15
TTL
62% 20-12
61% 19-12
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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