Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Terriers CIT @ WOF

THE CITADEL

BULLDOGSCIT

9-21  |  Road

93
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 2:00 PM ET
Jerry Richardson Indoor Stadium
View Odds Details →

WOFFORD

TERRIERSWOF

19-11  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
TERRIERS
0%
BULLDOGS --
TERRIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
WOFFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Wofford)
BulldogsCIT (-3.5) 0 TerriersWOF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

18.4%

Terriers Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WOF -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WOF)

CIT By 1-7 points

12.2%

CIT By 8-14 points

4.0%

WOF By 1-7 points

24.3%

WOF By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
73
THE CITADEL
82
WOFFORD
Simulated Score
70
THE CITADEL
75
WOFFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Terriers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Terriers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Terriers (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Terriers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o148.5 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 CIT @ WOF 93 - 90
Jan 3, 2026 WOF @ CIT 95 - 86
Feb 12, 2025 WOF @ CIT 74 - 71
Jan 22, 2025 CIT @ WOF 68 - 79
Feb 10, 2024 CIT @ WOF 64 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +17.9% more
Wofford: 13.7 vs The Citadel: 11.6
Free Throw % (L5) +16.9%
Wofford: 70.1% vs The Citadel: 53.1%
Rebounding (L5) +9.8% more
Wofford: 31.7 vs The Citadel: 28.8
Field Goal % (L5) +7.0%
Wofford: 44.7% vs The Citadel: 37.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CIT Score 73.0 93
WOF Score 82.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.7 / 28.3 38.0 / 38.0
Assists 13.7 / 11.6 14.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.0 / 3.3 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.7 / 37.7 52.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 70.1 / 53.1 69.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 31.7 / 28.8 38.0 / 29.0
Steals 5.2 / 6.8 9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 7.8 / 8.5 13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIT
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
WOF Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIT
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
WOF
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CIT
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.9
WOF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WOF
CIT
WOF
CIT
ML
39% 12-19
59% 19-13
61% 19-12
62% 20-12
ATS
58% 18-13
62% 20-12
61% 19-12
64% 21-12
TTL
65% 20-11
53% 17-15
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Cayden Boozer's Return to Duke: Trusting the Vision in a Loaded …
si 1 day, 13 hours ago
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game
si 5 days ago
Nick Saban Declares Georgia the Most Complete Team in College Fo…
si 5 days, 13 hours ago
David Stearns Opens Up on Mets' 2026 Failures, Offseason Plans a…
si 1 week, 3 days ago
Kirby Smart Stays Silent on Nate Frazier's Injury Status as Geor…
si 1 week, 3 days ago