Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Vikings @ Colonials CLE @ RMU

CLEVELAND STATE

VIKINGSCLE

10-20  |  Road

64
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 1:00 PM ET
UPMC Events Center
View Odds Details →

ROBERT MORRIS

COLONIALSRMU

20-10  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
0%
📊
COLONIALS
100%
VIKINGS --
COLONIALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
ROBERT MORRIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
VikingsCLE (-3.5) 0 ColonialsRMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vikings Cover

27.4%

Colonials Cover

72.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RMU +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RMU)

CLE By 1-7 points

26.8%

CLE By 8-14 points

24.3%

RMU By 1-7 points

16.9%

RMU By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
78
CLEVELAND STATE
72
ROBERT MORRIS
Simulated Score
68
CLEVELAND STATE
72
ROBERT MORRIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Vikings Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Colonials Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Colonials (+13.5) Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
D
Sim Colonials (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 CLE @ RMU 64 - 83
Feb 12, 2026 RMU @ CLE 85 - 68
Feb 12, 2025 RMU @ CLE 68 - 59
Jan 8, 2025 CLE @ RMU 80 - 69
Feb 25, 2024 CLE @ RMU 73 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +19.7% more
Cleveland State: 11.5 vs Robert Morris: 9.2
Free Throw % (L5) +4.1%
Cleveland State: 77.1% vs Robert Morris: 73.1%
Blocks (L5) +89.8% more
Robert Morris: 3.6 vs Cleveland State: 1.9
Steals (L5) +29.4% more
Robert Morris: 6.6 vs Cleveland State: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 78.0 64
RMU Score 72.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.0 / 32.3 41.0 / 37.0
Assists 17.9 / 15.5 21.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.6 / 1.9 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 47.5 / 44.4 55.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 73.1 / 77.1 71.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 36.8 / 28.6 37.0 / 28.0
Steals 6.6 / 5.1 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.2 / 11.5 12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
17%MONEY83%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
39%MONEY61%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
RMU Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
RMU Advantage
19-11-1 (63.3%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +6.3
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RMU
CLE
RMU
CLE
ML
36% 12-21
52% 17-16
56% 18-14
64% 21-12
ATS
55% 18-15
64% 21-12
56% 18-14
64% 21-12
TTL
55% 18-15
52% 17-16
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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