Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bruins @ Golden Gophers UCLA @ MINN

UCLA

BRUINSUCLA

19-9  |  Road

73
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 2:00 PM ET
Williams Arena
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

GOLDEN GOPHERSMINN

13-15  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
0%
📊
GOLDEN GOPHERS
100%
BRUINS --
GOLDEN GOPHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
UCLA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (UCLA)
BruinsUCLA (-3.5) 0 Golden GophersMINN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

69.1%

Golden Gophers Cover

30.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UCLA -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCLA)

UCLA By 1-7 points

27.2%

UCLA By 8-14 points

23.0%

MINN By 1-7 points

18.6%

MINN By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
70
UCLA
65
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
69
UCLA
73
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bruins Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Gophers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bruins (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Golden Gophers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u135.5 Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim u135.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 UCLA @ MINN 73 - 78
Feb 18, 2025 MINN @ UCLA 64 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +15.0% more
UCLA: 2.7 vs Minnesota: 2.3
Rebounding (L5) +13.2% more
UCLA: 30.0 vs Minnesota: 26.1
Free Throw % (L5) +4.4%
UCLA: 79.4% vs Minnesota: 75.0%
Turnovers (L5) +42.0% more
Minnesota: 9.9 vs UCLA: 7.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UCLA Score 70.0 73
MINN Score 65.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.3 / 36.6 52.0 / 42.0
Assists 16.5 / 16.1 24.0 / 27.0
Blocks 2.3 / 2.7 5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 47.5 / 45.9 58.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 75.0 / 79.4 89.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 26.1 / 30.0 20.0 / 30.0
Steals 6.1 / 6.2 4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 9.9 / 7.0 3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
79%MONEY21%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
25%MONEY75%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCLA Advantage
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
MINN
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCLA Advantage
17-18-1 (48.6%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
MINN
14-18-1 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UCLA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8% Total +/-: +2.5
MINN
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MINN
UCLA
MINN
UCLA
ML
48% 16-17
67% 24-12
71% 22-9
76% 25-8
ATS
55% 18-15
61% 22-14
71% 22-9
76% 25-8
TTL
52% 17-16
61% 22-14
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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