Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cardinals @ Tigers LOU @ CLEM

LOUISVILLE

CARDINALSLOU

20-8  |  Road

75
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 2:00 PM ET
Littlejohn Coliseum
View Odds Details →

CLEMSON

TIGERSCLEM

20-8  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
0%
📊
TIGERS
100%
CARDINALS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
LOUISVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Louisville)
CardinalsLOU (-3.5) 0 TigersCLEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinals Cover

86.4%

Tigers Cover

13.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LOU -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LOU)

LOU By 1-7 points

21.6%

LOU By 8-14 points

27.4%

CLEM By 1-7 points

9.3%

CLEM By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
76
LOUISVILLE
65
CLEMSON
Simulated Score
68
LOUISVILLE
76
CLEMSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cardinals Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cardinals (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.5 Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 LOU @ CLEM 75 - 80
Mar 14, 2025 CLEM @ LOU 73 - 76
Jan 7, 2025 CLEM @ LOU 64 - 74
Jan 30, 2024 LOU @ CLEM 64 - 70
Feb 18, 2023 CLEM @ LOU 73 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +39.9% more
Louisville: 8.2 vs Clemson: 4.9
Turnovers (L5) +32.6% more
Louisville: 13.4 vs Clemson: 9.0
Rebounding (L5) +19.7% more
Louisville: 36.4 vs Clemson: 29.2
Assists (L5) +17.5% more
Louisville: 14.5 vs Clemson: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LOU Score 76.0 75
CLEM Score 65.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.8 / 40.3 38.0 / 28.0
Assists 12.0 / 14.5 12.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.5 / 3.4 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 42.3 / 46.9 49.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 75.9 / 81.3 71.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 29.2 / 36.4 31.0 / 36.0
Steals 4.9 / 8.2 9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 9.0 / 13.4 9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
59%MONEY41%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LOU
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +0.3
CLEM
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LOU Advantage
17-18-0 (48.6%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +0.3
CLEM
16-17-1 (48.5%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
LOU
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -3.6
CLEM
13-21-0
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLEM
LOU
CLEM
LOU
ML
63% 22-13
63% 22-13
72% 23-9
71% 24-10
ATS
71% 25-10
71% 25-10
72% 23-9
71% 24-10
TTL
69% 24-11
63% 22-13
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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