NORTH ALABAMA
LIONSUNA
9-19 | Road
63
WEST GEORGIA
WOLVESWGA
13-16 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
WOLVES
0%
LIONS
--
WOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
WEST GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (West Georgia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WGA -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WGA)
UNA By 1-7 points
18.6%
UNA By 8-14 points
8.0%
WGA By 1-7 points
27.2%
WGA By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
North Alabama
72
NORTH ALABAMA
West Georgia
77
WEST GEORGIA
Simulated Score
North Alabama
70
NORTH ALABAMA
West Georgia
76
WEST GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wolves (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Wolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
UNA @ WGA
63 - 75
Feb 11, 2026
WGA @ UNA
82 - 73
Feb 18, 2025
WGA @ UNA
62 - 80
Feb 8, 2025
UNA @ WGA
78 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+63.1% more
West Georgia: 4.5
vs
North Alabama: 2.7
Assists (L5)
+40.0% more
West Georgia: 13.3
vs
North Alabama: 9.5
Steals (L5)
+12.2% more
West Georgia: 5.6
vs
North Alabama: 5.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.5%
West Georgia: 50.1%
vs
North Alabama: 44.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNA Score
72.0
63
WGA Score
77.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.0 / 28.7
30.0 / 21.0
Assists
13.3 / 9.5
16.0 / 5.0
Blocks
4.5 / 2.7
10.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
50.1 / 44.6
50.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
58.0 / 65.1
100.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 35.0
39.0 / 29.0
Steals
5.6 / 5.0
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.4 / 12.2
14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNA
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -8.2
ATS +/-: -4.3
WGA
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNA
10-17-1
(37.0%)
Margin: -8.2
ATS +/-: -4.3
WGA
Advantage
21-9-0
(70.0%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UNA
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -0.4
WGA
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WGA
UNA
WGA
UNA
ML
58%
18-13
43%
13-17
61%
19-12
57%
16-12
ATS
71%
22-9
60%
18-12
61%
19-12
57%
16-12
TTL
55%
17-14
63%
19-11
100%
31-0
100%
28-0
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