UTEP
MINERSUTEP
10-18 | Road
65
WESTERN KENTUCKY
HILLTOPPERSWKU
17-11 | Home
97
AI Model Win Probability
MINERS
100%
HILLTOPPERS
0%
MINERS
--
HILLTOPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Western Kentucky)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WKU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WKU)
UTEP By 1-7 points
16.9%
UTEP By 8-14 points
6.8%
WKU By 1-7 points
26.8%
WKU By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
UTEP
74
UTEP
Western Kentucky
80
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
UTEP
71
UTEP
Western Kentucky
78
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hilltoppers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hilltoppers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hilltoppers (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Hilltoppers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
UTEP @ WKU
65 - 97
Jan 10, 2026
WKU @ UTEP
68 - 56
Feb 27, 2025
WKU @ UTEP
80 - 73
Jan 30, 2025
UTEP @ WKU
74 - 78
Mar 16, 2024
UTEP @ WKU
71 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+84.2% more
Western Kentucky: 16.3
vs
UTEP: 8.9
Steals (L5)
+29.8% more
Western Kentucky: 8.1
vs
UTEP: 6.3
Rebounding (L5)
+18.0% more
Western Kentucky: 36.1
vs
UTEP: 30.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.0%
Western Kentucky: 82.0%
vs
UTEP: 75.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTEP Score
74.0
65
WKU Score
80.0
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.6 / 38.6
45.0 / 29.0
Assists
16.3 / 8.9
21.0 / 10.0
Blocks
0.7 / 3.3
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 44.8
59.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
82.0 / 75.0
86.0 / 66.0
Rebounding
36.1 / 30.6
36.0 / 29.0
Steals
8.1 / 6.3
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
9.5 / 10.9
9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTEP
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
WKU
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTEP
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
WKU
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
UTEP
12-15-1
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -1.2
WKU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WKU
UTEP
WKU
UTEP
ML
56%
18-14
70%
21-9
66%
21-11
72%
21-8
ATS
53%
17-15
57%
17-13
66%
21-11
73%
22-8
TTL
56%
18-14
60%
18-12
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
WKU Men's Basketball Kicks Off Official Practices with Revamped …
UTEP Men's Basketball Unveils 2026-27 Schedule: Mountain West De…
Four Teams Set for 2026 WestStar Don Haskins Sun Bowl Invitation…
WKU Athletics extends contract with Nike, BSN SPORTS
UTEP men’s basketball team hosting open practice on Thursday, Ju…