NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
37-22 | Road
127
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
26-31 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
BUCKS
100%
KNICKS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
6.8%
NY By 8-14 points
16.9%
MIL By 1-7 points
1.4%
MIL By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
123
NEW YORK
Milwaukee
102
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
New York
108
NEW YORK
Milwaukee
110
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Bucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o218.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Sim
u218.0
Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 27, 2026
NY @ MIL
127 - 98
Nov 28, 2025
MIL @ NY
109 - 118
Oct 28, 2025
NY @ MIL
111 - 121
Mar 28, 2025
NY @ MIL
116 - 107
Jan 12, 2025
MIL @ NY
106 - 140
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+27.9% more
New York: 5.1
vs
Milwaukee: 3.6
Steals (L5)
+13.0% more
New York: 8.4
vs
Milwaukee: 7.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.7%
Milwaukee: 39.1%
vs
New York: 32.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.3%
Milwaukee: 50.6%
vs
New York: 45.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
123.0
127
MIL Score
102.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.1 / 32.4
38.0 / 50.0
Assists
25.1 / 26.3
24.0 / 33.0
Blocks
3.6 / 5.1
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
50.6 / 45.3
43.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
73.3 / 73.0
73.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
41.7 / 43.1
34.0 / 44.0
Steals
7.3 / 8.4
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 14.0
16.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
NY
MIL
NY
ML
64%
61-35
61%
114-72
60%
49-32
56%
57-45
ATS
68%
65-31
67%
124-62
60%
49-32
56%
57-45
TTL
55%
53-43
72%
133-53
100%
81-0
100%
102-0
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