BROWN
BEARSBRWN
9-15 | Road
62
COLUMBIA
LIONSCOLU
15-10 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
100%
LIONS
0%
BEARS
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
COLUMBIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Columbia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLU)
BRWN By 1-7 points
20.1%
BRWN By 8-14 points
9.3%
COLU By 1-7 points
27.4%
COLU By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Brown
66
BROWN
Columbia
70
COLUMBIA
Simulated Score
Brown
70
BROWN
Columbia
75
COLUMBIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lions
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lions
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lions (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u140.5
Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 27, 2026
BRWN @ COLU
62 - 80
Jan 17, 2026
COLU @ BRWN
80 - 86
Feb 21, 2025
COLU @ BRWN
61 - 86
Feb 8, 2025
BRWN @ COLU
72 - 74
Feb 23, 2024
BRWN @ COLU
66 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+18.1% more
Columbia: 35.9
vs
Brown: 30.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
Columbia: 36.7%
vs
Brown: 32.4%
Steals (L5)
+52.1% more
Brown: 9.1
vs
Columbia: 4.3
Blocks (L5)
+12.7% more
Brown: 2.1
vs
Columbia: 1.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRWN Score
66.0
62
COLU Score
70.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.7 / 32.4
42.0 / 14.0
Assists
14.5 / 16.5
22.0 / 8.0
Blocks
1.9 / 2.1
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 50.9
51.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
57.7 / 63.5
64.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
35.9 / 30.4
36.0 / 29.0
Steals
4.3 / 9.1
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 12.7
15.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRWN
9-18-0
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
COLU
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRWN
Advantage
14-12-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
COLU
13-13-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BRWN
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
COLU
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLU
BRWN
COLU
BRWN
ML
44%
12-15
56%
15-12
56%
15-12
67%
18-9
ATS
59%
16-11
59%
16-11
56%
15-12
67%
18-9
TTL
74%
20-7
59%
16-11
100%
27-0
100%
27-0
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