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COASTAL CAROLINA

CHANTICLEERSCCU

18-12  |  Road

69
FINAL
Fri, Feb 27 • 8:00 PM ET
Atlantic Union Bank Center
View Odds Details →

JAMES MADISON

DUKESJMU

17-13  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
CHANTICLEERS
0%
📊
DUKES
100%
CHANTICLEERS --
DUKES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
COASTAL CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Coastal Carolina)
ChanticleersCCU (-3.5) 0 DukesJMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chanticleers Cover

75.8%

Dukes Cover

24.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CCU -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CCU)

CCU By 1-7 points

26.2%

CCU By 8-14 points

25.3%

JMU By 1-7 points

15.3%

JMU By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
76
COASTAL CAROLINA
69
JAMES MADISON
Simulated Score
65
COASTAL CAROLINA
75
JAMES MADISON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Chanticleers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dukes Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Chanticleers (-5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Dukes (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 27, 2026 CCU @ JMU 69 - 68
Feb 18, 2026 JMU @ CCU 67 - 65
Feb 15, 2025 JMU @ CCU 74 - 73
Jan 30, 2025 CCU @ JMU 64 - 73
Mar 1, 2024 JMU @ CCU 86 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +44.0% more
Coastal Carolina: 4.6 vs James Madison: 2.6
Rebounding (L5) +8.9% more
Coastal Carolina: 41.3 vs James Madison: 37.6
Steals (L5) +54.7% more
James Madison: 6.0 vs Coastal Carolina: 3.9
Turnovers (L5) +27.4% more
James Madison: 12.6 vs Coastal Carolina: 9.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CCU Score 76.0 69
JMU Score 69.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.1 / 33.5 35.0 / 27.0
Assists 10.5 / 8.9 9.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.6 / 4.6 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 50.1 / 40.6 40.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 74.3 / 72.7 67.0 / 87.0
Rebounding 37.6 / 41.3 36.0 / 36.0
Steals 6.0 / 3.9 4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.6 / 9.9 7.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
JMU
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCU Advantage
18-12-1 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
JMU
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.6
JMU
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: +3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JMU
CCU
JMU
CCU
ML
64% 21-12
41% 13-19
66% 21-11
55% 17-14
ATS
67% 22-11
38% 12-20
66% 21-11
55% 17-14
TTL
67% 22-11
75% 24-8
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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