HARVARD
CRIMSONHARV
15-10 | Road
58
PRINCETON
TIGERSPRIN
8-18 | Home
56
AI Model Win Probability
CRIMSON
0%
TIGERS
100%
CRIMSON
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
HARVARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Harvard)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HARV -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HARV)
HARV By 1-7 points
15.3%
HARV By 8-14 points
25.3%
PRIN By 1-7 points
4.8%
PRIN By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Harvard
79
HARVARD
Princeton
64
PRINCETON
Simulated Score
Harvard
68
HARVARD
Princeton
72
PRINCETON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Crimson
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Crimson (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o129.5
Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u129.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 27, 2026
HARV @ PRIN
58 - 56
Jan 17, 2026
PRIN @ HARV
80 - 87
Feb 21, 2025
HARV @ PRIN
71 - 76
Jan 11, 2025
PRIN @ HARV
68 - 64
Feb 23, 2024
PRIN @ HARV
66 - 53
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+34.0% more
Harvard: 7.4
vs
Princeton: 4.9
Blocks (L5)
+33.4% more
Harvard: 4.1
vs
Princeton: 2.7
Assists (L5)
+25.9% more
Harvard: 16.3
vs
Princeton: 12.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.4%
Harvard: 45.6%
vs
Princeton: 43.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HARV Score
79.0
58
PRIN Score
64.0
56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.5 / 32.4
42.0 / 20.0
Assists
12.1 / 16.3
12.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.7 / 4.1
0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 45.6
52.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
76.6 / 78.3
83.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
31.3 / 33.8
25.0 / 29.0
Steals
4.9 / 7.4
3.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 8.9
15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HARV
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
PRIN
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HARV
12-13-1
(48.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
PRIN
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
HARV
9-17-0
O: 34.6% / U: 65.4%
Total +/-: -4.3
PRIN
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRIN
HARV
PRIN
HARV
ML
45%
13-16
45%
13-16
62%
18-11
52%
15-14
ATS
48%
14-15
45%
13-16
62%
18-11
52%
15-14
TTL
72%
21-8
41%
12-17
100%
29-0
100%
29-0
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