YALE
BULLDOGSYALE
21-4 | Road
69
CORNELL
BIG REDCOR
12-12 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
BIG RED
100%
BULLDOGS
--
BIG RED
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
YALE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Yale)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around YALE -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (YALE)
YALE By 1-7 points
26.8%
YALE By 8-14 points
24.3%
COR By 1-7 points
16.9%
COR By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Yale
78
YALE
Cornell
72
CORNELL
Simulated Score
Yale
68
YALE
Cornell
72
CORNELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Big Red
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Big Red (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
COR @ YALE
76 - 88
Feb 27, 2026
YALE @ COR
69 - 72
Jan 17, 2026
COR @ YALE
68 - 102
Mar 16, 2025
COR @ YALE
84 - 90
Feb 21, 2025
COR @ YALE
88 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+19.3% more
Yale: 3.2
vs
Cornell: 2.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.4%
Yale: 36.5%
vs
Cornell: 28.1%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.0%
Yale: 76.8%
vs
Cornell: 73.8%
Steals (L5)
+28.0% more
Cornell: 6.6
vs
Yale: 5.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
YALE Score
78.0
69
COR Score
72.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.1 / 36.5
40.0 / 35.0
Assists
15.7 / 14.1
19.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.6 / 3.2
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 46.6
48.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
73.8 / 76.8
60.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
34.5 / 35.6
31.0 / 28.0
Steals
6.6 / 5.2
2.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 9.6
12.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
YALE
Advantage
24-7-0
(77.4%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
COR
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
YALE
Advantage
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
COR
11-15-0
(42.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
YALE
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +1.1
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COR
YALE
COR
YALE
ML
44%
12-15
48%
15-16
63%
17-10
58%
18-13
ATS
59%
16-11
65%
20-11
63%
17-10
58%
18-13
TTL
78%
21-6
61%
19-12
100%
27-0
100%
31-0
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