Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Panthers JKST @ PV

JACKSON STATE

TIGERSJKST

9-18  |  Road

76
FINAL
Thu, Feb 26 • 9:30 PM ET
William Nicks Building
View Odds Details →

PRAIRIE VIEW A&M

PANTHERSPV

11-17  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
TIGERS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
175.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Prairie View A&M)
TigersJKST (-3.5) 0 PanthersPV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

24.2%

Panthers Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PV -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PV)

JKST By 1-7 points

15.3%

JKST By 8-14 points

5.8%

PV By 1-7 points

26.2%

PV By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
84
JACKSON STATE
91
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Simulated Score
68
JACKSON STATE
72
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (-3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o162.5 Loss
Proj Total: 175.0
D
Sim u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 JKST @ PV 76 - 85
Jan 17, 2026 PV @ JKST 78 - 82
Mar 3, 2025 PV @ JKST 74 - 88
Jan 18, 2025 JKST @ PV 79 - 70
Mar 4, 2024 JKST @ PV 79 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +10.2% more
Prairie View A&M: 6.0 vs Jackson State: 5.5
Field Goal % (L5) +3.3%
Prairie View A&M: 45.8% vs Jackson State: 42.5%
Free Throw % (L5) +3.2%
Prairie View A&M: 78.6% vs Jackson State: 75.4%
Turnovers (L5) +11.9% more
Jackson State: 14.4 vs Prairie View A&M: 12.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JKST Score 84.0 76
PV Score 91.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.1 / 31.4 48.0 / 35.0
Assists 10.2 / 10.7 16.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.9 / 4.1 9.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.8 / 42.5 36.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 78.6 / 75.4 92.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 32.3 / 36.7 44.0 / 39.0
Steals 6.0 / 5.5 12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.7 / 14.4 11.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
73%MONEY27%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
81%MONEY19%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
30%MONEY70%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JKST
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
PV Advantage
19-18-0 (51.3%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: +2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JKST
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
PV Advantage
22-10-0 (68.8%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: +2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
JKST
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +4.2
PV
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5% Total +/-: -2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PV
JKST
PV
JKST
ML
59% 20-14
77% 24-7
68% 21-10
73% 19-7
ATS
56% 19-15
77% 24-7
68% 21-10
73% 19-7
TTL
50% 17-17
58% 18-13
100% 31-0
100% 26-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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