MIAMI (OH)
REDHAWKSM-OH
28-0 | Road
69
WESTERN MICHIGAN
BRONCOSWMU
10-18 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
0%
BRONCOS
100%
REDHAWKS
--
BRONCOS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WMU +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WMU)
M-OH By 1-7 points
27.2%
M-OH By 8-14 points
23.0%
WMU By 1-7 points
18.6%
WMU By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Miami (OH)
78
MIAMI (OH)
Western Michigan
73
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
Miami (OH)
69
MIAMI (OH)
Western Michigan
74
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
RedHawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Broncos
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Broncos (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim
Broncos (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u163.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u163.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 27, 2026
M-OH @ WMU
69 - 67
Jan 6, 2026
WMU @ M-OH
76 - 87
Feb 15, 2025
M-OH @ WMU
70 - 78
Jan 11, 2025
WMU @ M-OH
71 - 91
Feb 20, 2024
M-OH @ WMU
58 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+41.1% more
Miami (OH): 7.0
vs
Western Michigan: 4.2
Assists (L5)
+23.9% more
Miami (OH): 13.4
vs
Western Michigan: 10.2
Rebounding (L5)
+9.8% more
Miami (OH): 37.9
vs
Western Michigan: 34.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.8%
Miami (OH): 48.3%
vs
Western Michigan: 43.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
M-OH Score
78.0
69
WMU Score
73.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.1 / 33.8
31.0 / 27.0
Assists
10.2 / 13.4
10.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.2 / 2.6
0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.6 / 48.3
42.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
80.1 / 69.6
75.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
34.2 / 37.9
39.0 / 28.0
Steals
4.2 / 7.0
2.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 7.9
11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
M-OH
Advantage
32-2-0
(94.1%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
WMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
M-OH
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
WMU
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
M-OH
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +5.6
WMU
18-11-0
O: 62.1% / U: 37.9%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WMU
M-OH
WMU
M-OH
ML
60%
18-12
45%
15-18
70%
21-9
41%
13-19
ATS
67%
20-10
61%
20-13
70%
21-9
41%
13-19
TTL
57%
17-13
61%
20-13
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
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