SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
42-16 | Road
126
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
15-42 | Home
110
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
100%
NETS
0%
SPURS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
SA By 1-7 points
5.8%
SA By 8-14 points
1.4%
BKN By 1-7 points
16.9%
BKN By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
108
SAN ANTONIO
Brooklyn
122
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
San Antonio
118
SAN ANTONIO
Brooklyn
113
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Nets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spurs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Nets (+10.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Spurs (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o224.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Sim
u224.5
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
SA @ BKN
126 - 110
Oct 26, 2025
BKN @ SA
107 - 118
Mar 4, 2025
BKN @ SA
113 - 127
Dec 27, 2024
SA @ BKN
96 - 87
Mar 17, 2024
BKN @ SA
115 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+15.1% more
Brooklyn: 9.7
vs
San Antonio: 8.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.9%
Brooklyn: 72.0%
vs
San Antonio: 69.1%
Blocks (L5)
+46.9% more
San Antonio: 7.2
vs
Brooklyn: 3.8
Rebounding (L5)
+23.0% more
San Antonio: 45.8
vs
Brooklyn: 35.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
108.0
126
BKN Score
122.0
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.4 / 40.4
38.0 / 40.0
Assists
26.7 / 30.6
26.0 / 36.0
Blocks
3.8 / 7.2
1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 48.5
46.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
72.0 / 69.1
88.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
35.3 / 45.8
50.0 / 39.0
Steals
9.7 / 8.4
5.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
14.3 / 14.3
15.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
SA
BKN
SA
ML
53%
50-45
60%
111-73
59%
48-34
58%
61-44
ATS
52%
48-44-3
58%
107-76-1
59%
48-34
58%
61-44
TTL
57%
54-41
74%
134-47-3
100%
82-0
100%
105-0
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