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PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

25-21-11  |  Road

3
FINAL
Thu, Feb 26 • 8:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

22-29-6  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Cam York
GOALTENDER

Cam York

#8 | Defense
@
Igor Shesterkin
GOALTENDER

Igor Shesterkin

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Cam York None-None -- -- --
Igor Shesterkin None-None 2.92 0.875 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 2.92
-- Save % 0.875
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
0%
📊
RANGERS
100%
FLYERS --
RANGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Philadelphia)
FlyersPHI (-3.5) 0 RangersNYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flyers Cover

84.1%

Rangers Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PHI -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

PHI By 1 goal

17.5%

PHI By 2-3 goals

37.2%

NYR By 1 goal

6.6%

NYR By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
PHILADELPHIA
1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
3
PHILADELPHIA
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Flyers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rangers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Flyers (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Rangers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 9, 2026 NYR @ PHI 6 - 2
Feb 26, 2026 PHI @ NYR 3 - 2
Jan 17, 2026 NYR @ PHI 6 - 3
Dec 20, 2025 PHI @ NYR 4 - 5
Apr 9, 2025 PHI @ NYR 8 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +19.2% more
New York: 3.7 vs Philadelphia: 3.1
Hits (L5) +10.7% more
New York: 27.7 vs Philadelphia: 25.0
Faceoff % (L5) +4.7%
New York: 52.0% vs Philadelphia: 47.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 3.0 3
NYR Score 1.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
23%MONEY77%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
83%MONEY17%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
PHI
NYR
PHI
ML
80% 4-1
75% 3-1
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
ATS
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
TTL
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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