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CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

23-27-6  |  Road

4
FINAL
Thu, Feb 26 • 10:00 PM ET
SAP Center at San Jose
View Odds Details →

SAN JOSE

SHARKSSJ

27-24-4  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Dustin Wolf
GOALTENDER

Dustin Wolf

#32 | Goaltender
@
Yaroslav Askarov
GOALTENDER

Yaroslav Askarov

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Dustin Wolf None-None 1.00 0.971 --
Yaroslav Askarov None-None 3.09 0.893 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 Ldr GAA 3.09
0.971 Ldr Save % 0.893
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
📊
SHARKS
100%
FLAMES --
SHARKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
SAN JOSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
FlamesCGY (-3.5) 0 SharksSJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

30.9%

Sharks Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around SJ +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJ)

CGY By 1 goal

19.7%

CGY By 2-3 goals

29.6%

SJ By 1 goal

12.1%

SJ By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
CALGARY
2
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
2
CALGARY
4
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Flames Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sharks Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Sharks (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Sharks (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 CGY @ SJ 4 - 1
Jan 31, 2026 SJ @ CGY 2 - 3
Dec 16, 2025 CGY @ SJ 3 - 6
Nov 13, 2025 SJ @ CGY 0 - 2
Apr 13, 2025 SJ @ CGY 2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +25.5%
Calgary: 34.3% vs San Jose: 8.8%
Shots on Goal (L5) +13.0% more
Calgary: 29.6 vs San Jose: 25.7
Hits (L5) +17.6% more
San Jose: 23.6 vs Calgary: 20.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CGY Score 3.0 4
SJ Score 2.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
47%MONEY53%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
CGY
SJ
CGY
ML
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
ATS
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…
yahoo 20 hours, 12 minutes ago
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
yardbarker 1 day, 7 hours ago
Sharks Stunned: Celebrini Sidelined by Lower-Body Injury Moments…
yahoo 2 days, 19 hours ago
Sharks' Celebrini Sidelined with Lower-Body Injury in Loss to St…
yahoo 2 days, 20 hours ago
Sharks Place Forward Patrick Giles on Waivers
yardbarker 4 days, 2 hours ago