AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
BLUE HOSE
100%
PANTHERS
--
BLUE HOSE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+9.0
PRESBYTERIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PRES +9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRES)
HPU By 1-7 points
24.3%
HPU By 8-14 points
26.8%
PRES By 1-7 points
12.2%
PRES By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
High Point
80
HIGH POINT
Presbyterian
71
PRESBYTERIAN
Simulated Score
High Point
75
HIGH POINT
Presbyterian
68
PRESBYTERIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Hose (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +9.0
D
Sim
Panthers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
HPU @ PRES
79 - 73
Jan 29, 2026
PRES @ HPU
81 - 84
Feb 1, 2025
HPU @ PRES
84 - 72
Jan 18, 2025
PRES @ HPU
66 - 77
Feb 3, 2024
PRES @ HPU
68 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+16.6% more
High Point: 37.0
vs
Presbyterian: 30.9
Assists (L5)
+16.5% more
High Point: 15.7
vs
Presbyterian: 13.1
Steals (L5)
+14.8% more
High Point: 8.9
vs
Presbyterian: 7.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.5%
High Point: 80.4%
vs
Presbyterian: 65.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HPU Score
80.0
79
PRES Score
71.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.4 / 31.1
33.0 / 42.0
Assists
13.1 / 15.7
12.0 / 15.0
Blocks
5.0 / 5.2
6.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
49.6 / 47.3
40.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
65.9 / 80.4
87.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
30.9 / 37.0
40.0 / 32.0
Steals
7.5 / 8.9
2.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 11.2
11.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HPU
Advantage
31-5-0
(86.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
PRES
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HPU
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
PRES
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +1.4
PRES
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRES
HPU
PRES
HPU
ML
69%
22-10
80%
28-7
80%
24-6
80%
28-7
ATS
59%
19-13
71%
25-10
80%
24-6
80%
28-7
TTL
59%
19-13
66%
23-12
100%
30-0
100%
35-0