Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Buccaneers WIN @ CHSO

WINTHROP

EAGLESWIN

20-9  |  Road

84
FINAL
Thu, Feb 26 • 7:00 PM ET
Buccaneer Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

CHARLESTON SOUTHERN

BUCCANEERSCHSO

13-16  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
📊
BUCCANEERS
100%
EAGLES --
BUCCANEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
WINTHROP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Winthrop)
EaglesWIN (-3.5) 0 BuccaneersCHSO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

91.9%

Buccaneers Cover

8.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WIN -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIN)

WIN By 1-7 points

16.9%

WIN By 8-14 points

26.2%

CHSO By 1-7 points

5.8%

CHSO By 8-14 points

1.4%

AI Model Projected Score
84
WINTHROP
70
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
76
WINTHROP
72
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Eagles (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u164.5 Loss
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u164.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 6, 2026 CHSO @ WIN 81 - 86
Feb 26, 2026 WIN @ CHSO 84 - 86
Jan 7, 2026 CHSO @ WIN 77 - 81
Feb 5, 2025 WIN @ CHSO 83 - 65
Jan 15, 2025 CHSO @ WIN 97 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +26.6% more
Winthrop: 7.1 vs Charleston Southern: 5.2
Free Throw % (L5) +8.6%
Winthrop: 72.5% vs Charleston Southern: 64.0%
Blocks (L5) +154.6% more
Charleston Southern: 5.6 vs Winthrop: 2.2
Turnovers (L5) +39.7% more
Charleston Southern: 16.3 vs Winthrop: 11.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WIN Score 84.0 84
CHSO Score 70.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.0 / 33.1 38.0 / 37.0
Assists 15.7 / 14.9 17.0 / 8.0
Blocks 5.6 / 2.2 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 48.8 / 44.1 43.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 64.0 / 72.5 57.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 40.4 / 40.6 42.0 / 52.0
Steals 5.2 / 7.1 7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 16.3 / 11.7 15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
93%MONEY7%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
35%MONEY65%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIN Advantage
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
CHSO
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIN
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
CHSO Advantage
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
WIN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.3
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5% Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHSO
WIN
CHSO
WIN
ML
43% 13-17
70% 23-10
67% 20-10
79% 26-7
ATS
50% 15-15
79% 26-7
68% 21-10
79% 26-7
TTL
50% 15-15
58% 19-14
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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