CHICAGO STATE
COUGARSCHST
7-22 | Road
56
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
SHARKSLIU
19-10 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
SHARKS
0%
COUGARS
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Long Island University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIU)
CHST By 1-7 points
20.1%
CHST By 8-14 points
9.3%
LIU By 1-7 points
27.4%
LIU By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago State
71
CHICAGO STATE
Long Island University
75
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
Chicago State
71
CHICAGO STATE
Long Island University
75
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sharks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sharks (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Sharks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o141.5
Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 4, 2026
CHST @ LIU
75 - 79
Feb 26, 2026
CHST @ LIU
56 - 73
Jan 4, 2026
LIU @ CHST
74 - 55
Mar 5, 2025
CHST @ LIU
57 - 68
Feb 1, 2025
LIU @ CHST
67 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+243.0% more
Long Island University: 4.6
vs
Chicago State: 1.4
Turnovers (L5)
+69.3% more
Long Island University: 12.5
vs
Chicago State: 7.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+10.1%
Long Island University: 53.4%
vs
Chicago State: 43.3%
Assists (L5)
+23.9% more
Chicago State: 16.9
vs
Long Island University: 12.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHST Score
71.0
56
LIU Score
75.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.6 / 34.3
35.0 / 29.0
Assists
12.8 / 16.9
16.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.6 / 1.4
7.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
53.4 / 43.3
49.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
70.1 / 76.7
79.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
30.9 / 32.1
38.0 / 31.0
Steals
8.4 / 8.6
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 7.4
16.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHST
Advantage
7-25-0
(21.9%)
Margin: -10.3
ATS +/-: +0.4
LIU
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHST
Advantage
15-15-1
(50.0%)
Margin: -10.3
ATS +/-: +0.4
LIU
--
⚖️ Over/Under
CHST
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.5
LIU
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIU
CHST
LIU
CHST
ML
60%
21-14
75%
24-8
69%
24-11
73%
22-8
ATS
63%
22-13
69%
22-10
69%
24-11
73%
22-8
TTL
60%
21-14
44%
14-18
100%
35-0
100%
30-0
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