AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
100%
TIGERS
0%
PHOENIX
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
TOWSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Towson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TOW -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOW)
ELON By 1-7 points
16.9%
ELON By 8-14 points
6.8%
TOW By 1-7 points
26.8%
TOW By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Elon
64
ELON
Towson
70
TOWSON
Simulated Score
Elon
68
ELON
Towson
75
TOWSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (-5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
ELON @ TOW
56 - 58
Jan 22, 2026
TOW @ ELON
72 - 59
Feb 20, 2025
TOW @ ELON
63 - 69
Feb 12, 2024
ELON @ TOW
55 - 80
Jan 21, 2023
TOW @ ELON
66 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+79.4% more
Towson: 3.4
vs
Elon: 1.9
Rebounding (L5)
+14.3% more
Towson: 36.3
vs
Elon: 31.8
Turnovers (L5)
+10.5% more
Towson: 9.3
vs
Elon: 8.4
Assists (L5)
+34.0% more
Elon: 13.0
vs
Towson: 8.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ELON Score
64.0
56
TOW Score
70.0
58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 34.1
13.0 / 37.0
Assists
8.6 / 13.0
14.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.4 / 1.9
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
41.8 / 41.5
36.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
63.9 / 72.1
76.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
36.3 / 31.8
39.0 / 33.0
Steals
4.5 / 6.1
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
9.3 / 8.4
8.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ELON
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
TOW
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ELON
11-19-0
(36.7%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
TOW
Advantage
14-17-1
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
ELON
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOW
ELON
TOW
ELON
ML
66%
21-11
61%
19-12
62%
20-12
71%
22-9
ATS
66%
21-11
55%
17-14
62%
20-12
71%
22-9
TTL
53%
17-15
52%
16-15
100%
32-0
100%
31-0