ELON

PHOENIXELON

14-14  |  Road

56
FINAL
Thu, Feb 26 • 7:00 PM ET
SECU Arena
View Odds Details →

TOWSON

TIGERSTOW

14-14  |  Home

58
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
PHOENIX --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
TOWSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Towson)
PhoenixELON (-3.5) 0 TigersTOW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Phoenix Cover

27.4%

Tigers Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TOW -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOW)

ELON By 1-7 points

16.9%

ELON By 8-14 points

6.8%

TOW By 1-7 points

26.8%

TOW By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
64
ELON
70
TOWSON
Simulated Score
68
ELON
75
TOWSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (-5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 ELON @ TOW 56 - 58
Jan 22, 2026 TOW @ ELON 72 - 59
Feb 20, 2025 TOW @ ELON 63 - 69
Feb 12, 2024 ELON @ TOW 55 - 80
Jan 21, 2023 TOW @ ELON 66 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +79.4% more
Towson: 3.4 vs Elon: 1.9
Rebounding (L5) +14.3% more
Towson: 36.3 vs Elon: 31.8
Turnovers (L5) +10.5% more
Towson: 9.3 vs Elon: 8.4
Assists (L5) +34.0% more
Elon: 13.0 vs Towson: 8.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ELON Score 64.0 56
TOW Score 70.0 58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.9 / 34.1 13.0 / 37.0
Assists 8.6 / 13.0 14.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.4 / 1.9 6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 41.8 / 41.5 36.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 63.9 / 72.1 76.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 36.3 / 31.8 39.0 / 33.0
Steals 4.5 / 6.1 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.3 / 8.4 8.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
67%MONEY33%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
7%MONEY93%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ELON
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: -1.1
TOW Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ELON
11-19-0 (36.7%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: -1.1
TOW Advantage
14-17-1 (45.2%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
ELON
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +1.9
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6% Total +/-: -5.5