SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
SPARTANSUPST
12-17 | Road
59
RADFORD
HIGHLANDERSRAD
15-14 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
100%
HIGHLANDERS
0%
SPARTANS
--
HIGHLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
RADFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Radford)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RAD -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RAD)
UPST By 1-7 points
21.6%
UPST By 8-14 points
10.7%
RAD By 1-7 points
27.2%
RAD By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
South Carolina Upstate
69
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Radford
72
RADFORD
Simulated Score
South Carolina Upstate
65
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Radford
72
RADFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Highlanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Highlanders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Highlanders (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Highlanders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
UPST @ RAD
59 - 71
Dec 31, 2025
RAD @ UPST
76 - 69
Feb 1, 2025
UPST @ RAD
69 - 79
Jan 11, 2025
RAD @ UPST
80 - 67
Mar 6, 2024
RAD @ UPST
67 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+9.6% more
Radford: 13.0
vs
South Carolina Upstate: 11.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.9%
Radford: 38.5%
vs
South Carolina Upstate: 32.7%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.8%
Radford: 72.3%
vs
South Carolina Upstate: 69.5%
Blocks (L5)
+46.0% more
South Carolina Upstate: 4.9
vs
Radford: 2.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UPST Score
69.0
59
RAD Score
72.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.5 / 32.7
45.0 / 18.0
Assists
13.0 / 11.9
9.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.7 / 4.9
9.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 44.4
43.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
72.3 / 69.5
71.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
38.0 / 35.4
34.0 / 42.0
Steals
6.6 / 6.3
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 13.2
12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UPST
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
RAD
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UPST
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
RAD
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UPST
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -3.5
RAD
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RAD
UPST
RAD
UPST
ML
77%
23-7
61%
19-12
76%
22-7
83%
25-5
ATS
63%
19-11
61%
19-12
77%
23-7
83%
25-5
TTL
67%
20-10
52%
16-15
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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