EASTERN ILLINOIS
PANTHERSEIU
11-18 | Road
71
LINDENWOOD
LIONSLIN
16-13 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
LIONS
100%
PANTHERS
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Eastern Illinois)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around EIU -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EIU)
EIU By 1-7 points
4.8%
EIU By 8-14 points
13.7%
LIN By 1-7 points
0.8%
LIN By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Illinois
84
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Lindenwood
61
LINDENWOOD
Simulated Score
Eastern Illinois
69
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Lindenwood
73
LINDENWOOD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lions
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Panthers (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o143.5
Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
EIU @ LIN
71 - 67
Dec 6, 2025
LIN @ EIU
82 - 74
Feb 1, 2025
EIU @ LIN
76 - 70
Jan 2, 2025
LIN @ EIU
74 - 78
Feb 17, 2024
LIN @ EIU
57 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+17.4% more
Eastern Illinois: 7.6
vs
Lindenwood: 6.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.5%
Eastern Illinois: 78.1%
vs
Lindenwood: 70.6%
Turnovers (L5)
+40.0% more
Lindenwood: 14.1
vs
Eastern Illinois: 10.1
Blocks (L5)
+11.1% more
Lindenwood: 3.5
vs
Eastern Illinois: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EIU Score
84.0
71
LIN Score
61.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.8 / 29.7
29.0 / 67.0
Assists
12.8 / 12.4
11.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.5 / 3.1
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
43.0 / 41.1
38.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
70.6 / 78.1
71.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
32.8 / 35.3
41.0 / 32.0
Steals
6.3 / 7.6
9.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 10.1
14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EIU
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
LIN
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EIU
Advantage
15-13-2
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
LIN
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -1.7
LIN
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIN
EIU
LIN
EIU
ML
47%
15-17
56%
18-14
61%
19-12
74%
23-8
ATS
34%
11-21
50%
16-16
61%
19-12
74%
23-8
TTL
53%
17-15
69%
22-10
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
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