WESTERN ILLINOIS
LEATHERNECKSWIU
5-24 | Road
47
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
COUGARSSIUE
17-12 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
LEATHERNECKS
100%
COUGARS
0%
LEATHERNECKS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (SIU Edwardsville)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SIUE -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIUE)
WIU By 1-7 points
13.7%
WIU By 8-14 points
4.8%
SIUE By 1-7 points
25.3%
SIUE By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Western Illinois
72
WESTERN ILLINOIS
SIU Edwardsville
80
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Simulated Score
Western Illinois
68
WESTERN ILLINOIS
SIU Edwardsville
72
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o135.5
Loss
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u135.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
WIU @ SIUE
47 - 67
Dec 22, 2025
SIUE @ WIU
66 - 61
Feb 1, 2025
SIUE @ WIU
69 - 65
Jan 2, 2025
WIU @ SIUE
66 - 77
Mar 2, 2024
SIUE @ WIU
65 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+83.6% more
SIU Edwardsville: 7.1
vs
Western Illinois: 3.8
Blocks (L5)
+50.8% more
SIU Edwardsville: 3.6
vs
Western Illinois: 2.4
Rebounding (L5)
+27.0% more
SIU Edwardsville: 31.2
vs
Western Illinois: 24.6
Turnovers (L5)
+13.1% more
SIU Edwardsville: 12.8
vs
Western Illinois: 11.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WIU Score
72.0
47
SIUE Score
80.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.7 / 35.6
19.0 / 35.0
Assists
10.4 / 10.0
12.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.6 / 2.4
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
41.9 / 43.9
49.0 / 29.0
Free Throw %
52.1 / 63.2
71.0 / 43.0
Rebounding
31.2 / 24.6
43.0 / 32.0
Steals
7.1 / 3.8
11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.8 / 11.3
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIU
5-26-0
(16.1%)
Margin: -11.9
ATS +/-: -5.3
SIUE
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 6.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIU
11-17-0
(39.3%)
Margin: -11.9
ATS +/-: -5.3
SIUE
Advantage
15-14-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 6.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WIU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -0.1
SIUE
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIUE
WIU
SIUE
WIU
ML
65%
20-11
45%
14-17
60%
18-12
61%
19-12
ATS
55%
17-14
52%
16-15
60%
18-12
61%
19-12
TTL
48%
15-16
45%
14-17
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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