AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
TIGERS
0%
WILDCATS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
GRAMBLING
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Grambling)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GRAM -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GRAM)
BCU By 1-7 points
21.6%
BCU By 8-14 points
10.7%
GRAM By 1-7 points
27.2%
GRAM By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Bethune-Cookman
76
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Grambling
79
GRAMBLING
Simulated Score
Bethune-Cookman
70
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Grambling
75
GRAMBLING
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
BCU @ GRAM
76 - 71
Jan 10, 2026
GRAM @ BCU
65 - 74
Mar 3, 2025
GRAM @ BCU
71 - 78
Jan 11, 2025
BCU @ GRAM
65 - 59
Mar 15, 2024
BCU @ GRAM
53 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+50.0% more
Grambling: 7.7
vs
Bethune-Cookman: 5.1
Turnovers (L5)
+29.4% more
Grambling: 16.3
vs
Bethune-Cookman: 12.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.7%
Grambling: 75.8%
vs
Bethune-Cookman: 66.0%
Blocks (L5)
+49.2% more
Bethune-Cookman: 5.1
vs
Grambling: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BCU Score
76.0
76
GRAM Score
79.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.3 / 38.4
32.0 / 25.0
Assists
12.9 / 16.0
15.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.6 / 5.1
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 51.5
41.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
75.8 / 66.0
54.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
34.8 / 36.7
34.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.7 / 5.1
12.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
16.3 / 12.6
16.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BCU
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
GRAM
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BCU
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
GRAM
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BCU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +2.3
GRAM
10-21-0
O: 32.3% / U: 67.7%
Total +/-: -4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GRAM
BCU
GRAM
BCU
ML
68%
21-10
68%
21-10
68%
17-8
79%
22-6
ATS
61%
19-12
65%
20-11
68%
17-8
79%
22-6
TTL
58%
18-13
48%
15-16
100%
25-0
100%
28-0