FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
PANTHERSFIU
13-14 | Road
67
SAM HOUSTON
BEARKATSSHSU
19-8 | Home
100
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
BEARKATS
100%
PANTHERS
--
BEARKATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
SAM HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SHSU +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SHSU)
FIU By 1-7 points
26.8%
FIU By 8-14 points
24.3%
SHSU By 1-7 points
16.9%
SHSU By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida International
76
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Sam Houston
70
SAM HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Florida International
68
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Sam Houston
72
SAM HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bearkats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bearkats (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
D
Sim
Bearkats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u161.5
Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
FIU @ SHSU
67 - 100
Jan 17, 2026
SHSU @ FIU
76 - 63
Feb 6, 2025
SHSU @ FIU
82 - 85
Jan 11, 2025
FIU @ SHSU
74 - 81
Mar 13, 2024
FIU @ SHSU
59 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+42.0% more
Florida International: 8.8
vs
Sam Houston: 5.1
Blocks (L5)
+27.6% more
Florida International: 4.9
vs
Sam Houston: 3.5
Turnovers (L5)
+11.6% more
Florida International: 12.5
vs
Sam Houston: 11.0
Assists (L5)
+33.9% more
Sam Houston: 15.3
vs
Florida International: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FIU Score
76.0
67
SHSU Score
70.0
100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 34.7
63.0 / 17.0
Assists
15.3 / 11.4
20.0 / 6.0
Blocks
3.5 / 4.9
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.3 / 45.1
60.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
79.6 / 73.2
80.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 36.2
40.0 / 24.0
Steals
5.1 / 8.8
12.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 12.5
14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FIU
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +1.2
SHSU
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FIU
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +1.2
SHSU
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
FIU
15-13-1
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +1.8
SHSU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SHSU
FIU
SHSU
FIU
ML
55%
18-15
58%
18-13
74%
23-8
65%
20-11
ATS
64%
21-12
52%
16-15
74%
23-8
65%
20-11
TTL
48%
16-17
65%
20-11
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
