Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pioneers @ Golden Eagles DEN @ ORU

DENVER

PIONEERSDEN

15-15  |  Road

80
FINAL
Thu, Feb 26 • 8:00 PM ET
Mabee Center
View Odds Details →

ORAL ROBERTS

GOLDEN EAGLESORU

7-22  |  Home

102
AI Model Win Probability
PIONEERS
100%
📊
GOLDEN EAGLES
0%
PIONEERS --
GOLDEN EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
ORAL ROBERTS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Oral Roberts)
PioneersDEN (-3.5) 0 Golden EaglesORU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pioneers Cover

30.9%

Golden Eagles Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORU)

DEN By 1-7 points

18.6%

DEN By 8-14 points

8.0%

ORU By 1-7 points

27.2%

ORU By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
69
DENVER
74
ORAL ROBERTS
Simulated Score
65
DENVER
78
ORAL ROBERTS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Golden Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u155.5 Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 DEN @ ORU 80 - 102
Jan 14, 2026 ORU @ DEN 87 - 98
Feb 19, 2025 ORU @ DEN 60 - 71
Jan 23, 2025 DEN @ ORU 70 - 68
Feb 3, 2024 DEN @ ORU 76 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +62.6% more
Oral Roberts: 12.3 vs Denver: 7.5
Blocks (L5) +59.2% more
Oral Roberts: 3.3 vs Denver: 2.1
Steals (L5) +30.7% more
Oral Roberts: 6.6 vs Denver: 5.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +14.3%
Denver: 41.1% vs Oral Roberts: 26.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DEN Score 69.0 80
ORU Score 74.0 102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.8 / 41.1 43.0 / 32.0
Assists 11.2 / 12.1 9.0 / 17.0
Blocks 3.3 / 2.1 0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 42.0 / 47.7 53.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 76.6 / 84.5 90.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 35.0 / 33.9 43.0 / 26.0
Steals 6.6 / 5.0 3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 7.5 11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
81%MONEY19%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
81%MONEY19%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
92%MONEY8%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEN Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
ORU
10-23-0 (30.3%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEN Advantage
17-11-1 (60.7%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
ORU
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
DEN
20-8-1
O: 71.4% / U: 28.6% Total +/-: +7.0
ORU
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORU
DEN
ORU
DEN
ML
85% 28-5
56% 18-14
73% 24-9
59% 19-13
ATS
82% 27-6
66% 21-11
73% 24-9
59% 19-13
TTL
61% 20-13
59% 19-13
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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