Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cougars @ Pirates COFC @ HAMP

CHARLESTON

COUGARSCOFC

19-10  |  Road

85
FINAL
Thu, Feb 26 • 11:00 AM ET
Convocation Center (VA)
View Odds Details →

HAMPTON

PIRATESHAMP

12-16  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
0%
📊
PIRATES
100%
COUGARS --
PIRATES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
HAMPTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
CougarsCOFC (-3.5) 0 PiratesHAMP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cougars Cover

38.2%

Pirates Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HAMP +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HAMP)

COFC By 1-7 points

27.2%

COFC By 8-14 points

20.1%

HAMP By 1-7 points

21.6%

HAMP By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
74
CHARLESTON
71
HAMPTON
Simulated Score
65
CHARLESTON
80
HAMPTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cougars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pirates Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pirates (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Pirates (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o140.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 COFC @ HAMP 85 - 71
Jan 10, 2026 HAMP @ COFC 70 - 74
Jan 2, 2025 HAMP @ COFC 67 - 94
Jan 25, 2024 COFC @ HAMP 107 - 86
Feb 11, 2023 COFC @ HAMP 83 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +46.3% more
Charleston: 4.7 vs Hampton: 2.5
Assists (L5) +28.1% more
Charleston: 16.8 vs Hampton: 12.1
Field Goal % (L5) +5.9%
Charleston: 44.1% vs Hampton: 38.2%
Free Throw % (L5) +5.1%
Charleston: 74.6% vs Hampton: 69.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COFC Score 74.0 85
HAMP Score 71.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.2 / 31.9 34.0 / 45.0
Assists 12.1 / 16.8 14.0 / 20.0
Blocks 2.5 / 4.7 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 38.2 / 44.1 40.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 69.5 / 74.6 79.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 34.6 / 36.0 26.0 / 40.0
Steals 6.7 / 6.8 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 9.8 10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
86%TICKETS14%
85%MONEY15%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
72%MONEY28%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
44%MONEY56%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COFC Advantage
21-11-0 (65.6%)
Margin: 2.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
HAMP
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COFC Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 2.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
HAMP
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -1.8
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAMP
COFC
HAMP
COFC
ML
53% 17-15
66% 19-10
75% 24-8
62% 18-11
ATS
50% 16-16
59% 17-12
75% 24-8
62% 18-11
TTL
68% 21-10-1
68% 19-9-1
100% 32-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 6 hours, 44 minutes ago
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
espn 1 day, 1 hour ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 6 hours ago
Tom Moore Retires from UConn GM Role, Eyes Broadcasting Career
yahoo 2 days, 12 hours ago
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game
si 5 days ago