Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Blue Hens @ Gamecocks DEL @ JXST

DELAWARE

BLUE HENSDEL

9-18  |  Road

70
FINAL
Thu, Feb 26 • 7:00 PM ET
Pete Mathews Coliseum
View Odds Details →

JACKSONVILLE STATE

GAMECOCKSJXST

13-14  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE HENS
0%
📊
GAMECOCKS
100%
BLUE HENS --
GAMECOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Blue HensDEL (-3.5) 0 GamecocksJXST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Hens Cover

34.5%

Gamecocks Cover

65.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around JXST +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JXST)

DEL By 1-7 points

27.4%

DEL By 8-14 points

21.6%

JXST By 1-7 points

20.1%

JXST By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
76
DELAWARE
72
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Simulated Score
69
DELAWARE
73
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blue Hens Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gamecocks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Gamecocks (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim Gamecocks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o133.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u133.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 DEL @ JXST 70 - 80
Jan 2, 2026 JXST @ DEL 67 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +14.1%
Delaware: 84.4% vs Jacksonville State: 70.3%
Turnovers (L5) +10.9% more
Delaware: 10.5 vs Jacksonville State: 9.3
Blocks (L5) +9.5% more
Delaware: 2.0 vs Jacksonville State: 1.8
Field Goal % (L5) +5.5%
Delaware: 49.4% vs Jacksonville State: 43.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DEL Score 76.0 70
JXST Score 72.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.0 / 35.2 46.0 / 37.0
Assists 11.2 / 9.9 20.0 / 10.0
Blocks 1.8 / 2.0 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.8 / 49.4 46.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 70.3 / 84.4 94.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 31.0 / 28.3 38.0 / 29.0
Steals 6.5 / 5.1 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.3 / 10.5 9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
49%MONEY51%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
48%MONEY52%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEL
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
JXST Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEL Advantage
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
JXST
13-15-1 (46.4%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
DEL
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
JXST
17-11-1
O: 60.7% / U: 39.3% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JXST
DEL
JXST
DEL
ML
50% 16-16
45% 14-17
55% 17-14
52% 16-15
ATS
62% 20-12
61% 19-12
55% 17-14
52% 16-15
TTL
62% 20-12
65% 20-11
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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