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HOLY CROSS

CRUSADERSHC

10-19  |  Road

63
FINAL
Wed, Feb 25 • 7:00 PM ET
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BOSTON UNIVERSITY

TERRIERSBU

13-16  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
100%
📊
TERRIERS
0%
CRUSADERS --
TERRIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Boston University)
CrusadersHC (-3.5) 0 TerriersBU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Crusaders Cover

5.5%

Terriers Cover

94.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BU -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BU)

HC By 1-7 points

4.0%

HC By 8-14 points

0.8%

BU By 1-7 points

13.7%

BU By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
64
HOLY CROSS
80
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
65
HOLY CROSS
70
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Terriers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Terriers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Terriers (-8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Terriers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 25, 2026 HC @ BU 63 - 78
Feb 2, 2026 BU @ HC 72 - 64
Feb 8, 2025 BU @ HC 52 - 72
Jan 27, 2025 HC @ BU 59 - 69
Mar 2, 2024 HC @ BU 84 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +36.4% more
Boston University: 15.6 vs Holy Cross: 11.4
Rebounding (L5) +11.2% more
Boston University: 33.2 vs Holy Cross: 29.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.9%
Boston University: 43.6% vs Holy Cross: 38.7%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.2%
Boston University: 50.8% vs Holy Cross: 47.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HC Score 64.0 63
BU Score 80.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 43.6 / 38.7 33.0 / 35.0
Assists 15.6 / 11.4 12.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.3 / 2.1 4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 50.8 / 47.6 56.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 75.6 / 79.8 81.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 33.2 / 29.9 33.0 / 25.0
Steals 5.1 / 5.3 7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 9.5 / 9.1 9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
21%MONEY79%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HC
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
BU Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HC
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
BU Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.3
BU
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: +8.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BU
HC
BU
HC
ML
68% 23-11
52% 16-15
62% 21-13
61% 19-12
ATS
62% 21-13
55% 17-14
62% 21-13
64% 21-12
TTL
65% 22-12
58% 18-13
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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