EVANSVILLE
PURPLE ACESEVAN
6-22 | Road
64
BELMONT
BRUINSBEL
25-4 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
PURPLE ACES
100%
BRUINS
0%
PURPLE ACES
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BELMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Belmont)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BEL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BEL)
EVAN By 1-7 points
24.3%
EVAN By 8-14 points
13.7%
BEL By 1-7 points
26.2%
BEL By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Evansville
73
EVANSVILLE
Belmont
74
BELMONT
Simulated Score
Evansville
73
EVANSVILLE
Belmont
82
BELMONT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+18.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.5
Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
EVAN @ BEL
64 - 98
Dec 16, 2025
BEL @ EVAN
83 - 78
Feb 2, 2025
EVAN @ BEL
80 - 75
Jan 18, 2025
BEL @ EVAN
85 - 82
Mar 3, 2024
EVAN @ BEL
66 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+71.8% more
Belmont: 7.7
vs
Evansville: 4.5
Assists (L5)
+42.9% more
Belmont: 18.0
vs
Evansville: 12.6
Rebounding (L5)
+29.7% more
Belmont: 33.6
vs
Evansville: 25.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.5%
Belmont: 51.8%
vs
Evansville: 43.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EVAN Score
73.0
64
BEL Score
74.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.4 / 36.2
57.0 / 23.0
Assists
18.0 / 12.6
24.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.6 / 2.8
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
51.8 / 43.3
57.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
79.6 / 74.9
78.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
33.6 / 25.9
34.0 / 24.0
Steals
7.7 / 4.5
5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 12.4
9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EVAN
7-25-0
(21.9%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -3.8
BEL
Advantage
26-6-0
(81.3%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EVAN
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -3.8
BEL
Advantage
17-13-1
(56.7%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
EVAN
16-13-1
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.3
BEL
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7%
Total +/-: +4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BEL
EVAN
BEL
EVAN
ML
47%
15-17
56%
18-14
62%
20-12
62%
20-12
ATS
56%
18-14
66%
21-11
62%
20-12
62%
20-12
TTL
44%
14-18
62%
20-12
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
Oregon Ducks vs. UCLA Bruins: Unbeaten Bruins Invade Autzen as C…
UCLA's Unlikely Heroes: TaShawn James, Jalen Woods, and Semaj Mo…
WKU Men's Basketball Kicks Off Official Practices with Revamped …
Isaiah Marshall's Rocky Start: Kansas QB Shows Flashes but Seeks…