LSU
TIGERSLSU
14-13 | Road
106
OLE MISS
REBELSMISS
11-16 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
REBELS
100%
TIGERS
--
REBELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
LSU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (LSU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LSU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LSU)
LSU By 1-7 points
27.2%
LSU By 8-14 points
20.1%
MISS By 1-7 points
21.6%
MISS By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
LSU
75
LSU
Ole Miss
72
OLE MISS
Simulated Score
LSU
68
LSU
Ole Miss
77
OLE MISS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rebels
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Rebels (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
LSU @ MISS
106 - 99
Feb 8, 2025
MISS @ LSU
72 - 70
Jan 11, 2025
LSU @ MISS
65 - 77
Jan 17, 2024
MISS @ LSU
80 - 89
Feb 25, 2023
LSU @ MISS
69 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+15.7% more
LSU: 33.3
vs
Ole Miss: 28.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.6%
LSU: 36.5%
vs
Ole Miss: 24.9%
Steals (L5)
+40.9% more
Ole Miss: 7.6
vs
LSU: 5.4
Turnovers (L5)
+11.3% more
Ole Miss: 9.4
vs
LSU: 8.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LSU Score
75.0
106
MISS Score
72.0
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
24.9 / 36.5
31.0 / 52.0
Assists
14.3 / 13.1
21.0 / 24.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.1
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
43.9 / 43.2
46.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
78.9 / 74.5
76.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
28.1 / 33.3
39.0 / 40.0
Steals
7.6 / 5.4
8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
9.4 / 8.5
6.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MISS
LSU
MISS
LSU
ML
48%
16-17
62%
20-12
52%
17-16
62%
20-12
ATS
61%
20-13
66%
21-11
52%
17-16
62%
20-12
TTL
64%
21-12
72%
23-9
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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