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WASHINGTON STATE

COUGARSWSU

12-17  |  Road

66
FINAL
Wed, Feb 25 • 11:00 PM ET
Gersten Pavilion
View Odds Details →

LOYOLA MARYMOUNT

LIONSLMU

14-15  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
📊
LIONS
0%
COUGARS --
LIONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Loyola Marymount)
CougarsWSU (-3.5) 0 LionsLMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cougars Cover

42.1%

Lions Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LMU -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LMU)

WSU By 1-7 points

23.0%

WSU By 8-14 points

12.2%

LMU By 1-7 points

26.8%

LMU By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
74
WASHINGTON STATE
76
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Simulated Score
75
WASHINGTON STATE
68
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lions Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Lions (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Cougars (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o149.5 Loss
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 25, 2026 WSU @ LMU 66 - 67
Jan 2, 2026 LMU @ WSU 76 - 78
Mar 8, 2025 LMU @ WSU 77 - 94
Dec 30, 2024 LMU @ WSU 59 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +28.7% more
Loyola Marymount: 3.1 vs Washington State: 2.4
Steals (L5) +25.1% more
Loyola Marymount: 6.6 vs Washington State: 5.3
Field Goal % (L5) +3.9%
Loyola Marymount: 51.5% vs Washington State: 47.6%
Assists (L5) +14.0% more
Washington State: 13.4 vs Loyola Marymount: 11.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSU Score 74.0 66
LMU Score 76.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.0 / 39.7 26.0 / 45.0
Assists 11.5 / 13.4 16.0 / 17.0
Blocks 3.1 / 2.4 2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 51.5 / 47.6 37.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 75.7 / 75.0 82.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 29.6 / 29.4 30.0 / 37.0
Steals 6.6 / 5.3 9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 11.5 6.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
37%MONEY63%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSU
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
LMU Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSU Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
LMU
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WSU
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.0
LMU
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LMU
WSU
LMU
WSU
ML
53% 17-15
78% 25-7
50% 16-16
69% 20-9
ATS
47% 15-17
78% 25-7
50% 16-16
69% 20-9
TTL
62% 20-12
62% 20-12
100% 32-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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