SEATTLE U
REDHAWKSSEA
17-12 | Road
87
PEPPERDINE
WAVESPEPP
8-21 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
0%
WAVES
100%
REDHAWKS
--
WAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
PEPPERDINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PEPP +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PEPP)
SEA By 1-7 points
26.8%
SEA By 8-14 points
24.3%
PEPP By 1-7 points
16.9%
PEPP By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle U
67
SEATTLE U
Pepperdine
61
PEPPERDINE
Simulated Score
Seattle U
63
SEATTLE U
Pepperdine
70
PEPPERDINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Redhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Waves
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Waves (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
D
Sim
Waves (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Loss
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
SEA @ PEPP
87 - 80
Feb 4, 2026
PEPP @ SEA
81 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+20.8% more
Seattle U: 3.8
vs
Pepperdine: 3.0
Steals (L5)
+17.5% more
Seattle U: 7.9
vs
Pepperdine: 6.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.0%
Seattle U: 72.9%
vs
Pepperdine: 68.9%
Assists (L5)
+35.9% more
Pepperdine: 14.9
vs
Seattle U: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
67.0
87
PEPP Score
61.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.3 / 32.4
42.0 / 32.0
Assists
14.9 / 11.0
20.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.8
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 40.5
47.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
68.9 / 72.9
88.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
30.7 / 32.0
39.0 / 30.0
Steals
6.5 / 7.9
4.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 11.5
16.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
PEPP
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -7.3
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
Advantage
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
PEPP
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -7.3
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -4.8
PEPP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PEPP
SEA
PEPP
SEA
ML
62%
20-12
46%
16-19
69%
22-10
71%
24-10
ATS
56%
18-14
57%
20-15
69%
22-10
71%
24-10
TTL
50%
16-16
49%
17-18
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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