NORTH TEXAS
MEAN GREENUNT
16-12 | Road
79
CHARLOTTE
49ERSCLT
14-13 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
MEAN GREEN
100%
49ERS
0%
MEAN GREEN
--
49ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLT)
UNT By 1-7 points
24.3%
UNT By 8-14 points
13.7%
CLT By 1-7 points
26.2%
CLT By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
North Texas
78
NORTH TEXAS
Charlotte
79
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
North Texas
75
NORTH TEXAS
Charlotte
70
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
49ers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mean Green
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
49ers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Mean Green (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o133.5
Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u133.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
UNT @ CLT
79 - 80
Mar 6, 2025
CLT @ UNT
64 - 75
Jan 20, 2024
UNT @ CLT
44 - 56
Feb 23, 2023
UNT @ CLT
49 - 55
Feb 11, 2023
CLT @ UNT
43 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+24.2% more
Charlotte: 13.6
vs
North Texas: 10.9
Turnovers (L5)
+13.0% more
Charlotte: 11.4
vs
North Texas: 10.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.6%
Charlotte: 33.7%
vs
North Texas: 25.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Charlotte: 45.2%
vs
North Texas: 42.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNT Score
78.0
79
CLT Score
79.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.7 / 25.2
41.0 / 44.0
Assists
13.6 / 10.9
9.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.7 / 3.0
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 42.0
60.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
70.5 / 74.4
81.0 / 55.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 38.3
26.0 / 26.0
Steals
5.2 / 7.3
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 10.1
13.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNT
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: -0.7
CLT
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNT
Advantage
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: -0.7
CLT
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
UNT
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLT
UNT
CLT
UNT
ML
62%
21-13
70%
23-10
67%
22-11
59%
19-13
ATS
68%
23-11
52%
17-16
67%
22-11
59%
19-13
TTL
65%
22-12
67%
22-11
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
.jpg)
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud in $9,000 Scheme
Mountain West Media Days: Eric Olen Earns High Praise from Rival…
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
UConn Men's Basketball 2026-27 TV Schedule Revealed: Up to Seven…