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OAKLAND

GOLDEN GRIZZLIESOAK

15-14  |  Road

86
FINAL
Wed, Feb 25 • 6:30 PM ET
The Jungle
View Odds Details →

IU INDIANAPOLIS

JAGUARSIUIN

7-22  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
0%
📊
JAGUARS
100%
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES --
JAGUARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Golden GrizzliesOAK (-3.5) 0 JaguarsIUIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Grizzlies Cover

38.2%

Jaguars Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IUIN +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IUIN)

OAK By 1-7 points

27.2%

OAK By 8-14 points

20.1%

IUIN By 1-7 points

21.6%

IUIN By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
79
OAKLAND
76
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Simulated Score
81
OAKLAND
68
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Grizzlies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Grizzlies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jaguars (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Golden Grizzlies (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u167.5 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u167.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 25, 2026 OAK @ IUIN 86 - 74
Jan 21, 2026 IUIN @ OAK 103 - 85
Feb 12, 2025 OAK @ IUIN 82 - 67
Jan 15, 2025 IUIN @ OAK 59 - 72
Feb 17, 2024 IUIN @ OAK 59 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +30.9% more
Oakland: 4.9 vs IU Indianapolis: 3.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.4%
Oakland: 35.7% vs IU Indianapolis: 28.3%
Assists (L5) +13.6% more
IU Indianapolis: 16.9 vs Oakland: 14.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OAK Score 79.0 86
IUIN Score 76.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.3 / 35.7 43.0 / 36.0
Assists 16.9 / 14.9 23.0 / 19.0
Blocks 3.4 / 4.9 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 46.3 / 45.8 48.0 / 55.0
Free Throw % 79.1 / 77.7 40.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 31.7 / 33.7 26.0 / 30.0
Steals 7.8 / 8.2 3.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 10.5 14.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
90%TICKETS10%
84%MONEY16%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
90%MONEY10%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OAK Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
IUIN
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OAK Advantage
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
IUIN
--
⚖️ Over/Under
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7% Total +/-: +4.0
IUIN
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IUIN
OAK
IUIN
OAK
ML
69% 22-10
62% 20-12
78% 25-7
59% 19-13
ATS
66% 21-11
50% 16-16
78% 25-7
59% 19-13
TTL
50% 16-16
62% 20-12
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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