BUCKNELL
BISONBUCK
8-21 | Road
75
ARMY
BLACK KNIGHTSARMY
11-18 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
0%
BLACK KNIGHTS
100%
BISON
--
BLACK KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
BUCKNELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Bucknell)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BUCK -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUCK)
BUCK By 1-7 points
1.7%
BUCK By 8-14 points
6.8%
ARMY By 1-7 points
0.2%
ARMY By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Bucknell
88
BUCKNELL
Army
60
ARMY
Simulated Score
Bucknell
63
BUCKNELL
Army
67
ARMY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bison
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Black Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bison (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Black Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o143.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
ARMY @ BUCK
55 - 65
Feb 25, 2026
BUCK @ ARMY
75 - 73
Jan 21, 2026
ARMY @ BUCK
87 - 84
Feb 23, 2025
ARMY @ BUCK
53 - 84
Feb 8, 2025
BUCK @ ARMY
110 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+17.4% more
Bucknell: 6.9
vs
Army: 5.7
Blocks (L5)
+16.7% more
Bucknell: 1.3
vs
Army: 1.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.7%
Bucknell: 79.3%
vs
Army: 74.6%
Assists (L5)
+15.3% more
Army: 14.2
vs
Bucknell: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUCK Score
88.0
75
ARMY Score
60.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.7 / 22.7
31.0 / 41.0
Assists
14.2 / 12.3
22.0 / 9.0
Blocks
1.1 / 1.3
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
40.3 / 40.8
41.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
74.6 / 79.3
70.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
30.5 / 31.9
36.0 / 35.0
Steals
5.7 / 6.9
10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 11.3
16.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BUCK
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
ARMY
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BUCK
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
ARMY
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.3
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARMY
BUCK
ARMY
BUCK
ML
44%
14-18
55%
18-15
50%
16-16
64%
21-12
ATS
44%
14-18
45%
15-18
50%
16-16
64%
21-12
TTL
81%
26-6
61%
20-13
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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