MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
35-23 | Road
124
PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
28-30 | Home
121
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
TRAIL BLAZERS
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
246.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Portland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around POR -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)
MIN By 1-7 points
23.0%
MIN By 8-14 points
12.2%
POR By 1-7 points
26.8%
POR By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
122
MINNESOTA
Portland
124
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
Minnesota
106
MINNESOTA
Portland
118
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Trail Blazers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trail Blazers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Trail Blazers (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Trail Blazers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o235.5
Win
Proj Total: 246.0
D
Sim
u235.5
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 20, 2026
POR @ MIN
108 - 104
Feb 24, 2026
MIN @ POR
124 - 121
Feb 11, 2026
POR @ MIN
109 - 133
Oct 22, 2025
MIN @ POR
118 - 114
Feb 8, 2025
POR @ MIN
98 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+13.3% more
Portland: 20.3
vs
Minnesota: 17.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.3%
Minnesota: 73.5%
vs
Portland: 66.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Minnesota: 49.2%
vs
Portland: 46.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Minnesota: 34.9%
vs
Portland: 33.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
122.0
124
POR Score
124.0
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.0 / 34.9
40.0 / 49.0
Assists
25.4 / 25.3
27.0 / 26.0
Blocks
7.3 / 7.2
4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 49.2
47.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
66.2 / 73.5
77.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
45.9 / 44.1
44.0 / 41.0
Steals
8.1 / 8.6
10.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
20.3 / 17.9
16.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
MIN
POR
MIN
ML
53%
56-49
54%
63-53
55%
49-40
54%
50-43
ATS
62%
65-39-1
58%
67-49
55%
49-40
54%
50-43
TTL
56%
58-46-1
63%
72-43-1
100%
89-0
100%
93-0
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