AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
100%
FLAMES
0%
BRAVES
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
UIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (UIC)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UIC -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UIC)
BRAD By 1-7 points
15.3%
BRAD By 8-14 points
5.8%
UIC By 1-7 points
26.2%
UIC By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Bradley
67
BRADLEY
UIC
74
UIC
Simulated Score
Bradley
74
BRADLEY
UIC
68
UIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Braves
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flames (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Braves (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u141.5
Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 24, 2026
BRAD @ UIC
86 - 93
Jan 24, 2026
UIC @ BRAD
85 - 70
Jan 29, 2025
UIC @ BRAD
93 - 70
Jan 11, 2025
BRAD @ UIC
61 - 60
Mar 8, 2024
UIC @ BRAD
47 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+29.3% more
UIC: 12.2
vs
Bradley: 9.4
Assists (L5)
+26.7% more
UIC: 16.2
vs
Bradley: 12.8
Steals (L5)
+26.7% more
UIC: 7.7
vs
Bradley: 6.1
Rebounding (L5)
+16.0% more
UIC: 37.7
vs
Bradley: 32.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRAD Score
67.0
86
UIC Score
74.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.1 / 33.9
48.0 / 36.0
Assists
16.2 / 12.8
19.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.3
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.1 / 46.0
52.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
68.5 / 70.3
69.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
37.7 / 32.5
38.0 / 40.0
Steals
7.7 / 6.1
9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 9.4
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRAD
Advantage
21-13-0
(61.8%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
UIC
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRAD
Advantage
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
UIC
--
⚖️ Over/Under
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +5.6
UIC
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UIC
BRAD
UIC
BRAD
ML
57%
20-15
65%
22-12
44%
15-19
68%
23-11
ATS
54%
19-16
59%
20-14
44%
15-19
68%
23-11
TTL
60%
21-14
68%
23-11
100%
34-0
100%
34-0