Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Screaming Eagles @ Eagles USI @ MORE

SOUTHERN INDIANA

SCREAMING EAGLESUSI

7-21  |  Road

63
FINAL
Tue, Feb 24 • 7:30 PM ET
Ellis T. Johnson Arena
View Odds Details →

MOREHEAD STATE

EAGLESMORE

17-12  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
SCREAMING EAGLES
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
SCREAMING EAGLES --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
MOREHEAD STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Morehead State)
Screaming EaglesUSI (-3.5) 0 EaglesMORE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Screaming Eagles Cover

2.9%

Eagles Cover

97.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MORE -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MORE)

USI By 1-7 points

2.2%

USI By 8-14 points

0.4%

MORE By 1-7 points

9.3%

MORE By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
66
SOUTHERN INDIANA
85
MOREHEAD STATE
Simulated Score
68
SOUTHERN INDIANA
75
MOREHEAD STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (-7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 24, 2026 USI @ MORE 63 - 64
Dec 20, 2025 MORE @ USI 64 - 60
Jan 28, 2025 USI @ MORE 65 - 66
Dec 31, 2024 MORE @ USI 70 - 68
Feb 20, 2024 USI @ MORE 80 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +23.7% more
Morehead State: 14.2 vs Southern Indiana: 11.5
Field Goal % (L5) +10.1%
Morehead State: 51.5% vs Southern Indiana: 41.3%
Free Throw % (L5) +1.9%
Morehead State: 73.6% vs Southern Indiana: 71.6%
Blocks (L5) +55.6% more
Southern Indiana: 4.8 vs Morehead State: 2.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USI Score 66.0 63
MORE Score 85.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.0 / 36.5 33.0 / 30.0
Assists 14.2 / 11.5 7.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.1 / 4.8 6.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 51.5 / 41.3 39.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 73.6 / 71.6 82.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 33.7 / 33.4 35.0 / 36.0
Steals 5.9 / 5.7 4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 11.2 6.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
17%MONEY83%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USI
7-23-0 (23.3%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
MORE Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USI
11-16-1 (40.7%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
MORE Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
USI
11-17-0
O: 39.3% / U: 60.7% Total +/-: -3.3
MORE
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MORE
USI
MORE
USI
ML
62% 20-12
67% 20-10
68% 21-10
61% 17-11
ATS
59% 19-13
70% 21-9
68% 21-10
61% 17-11
TTL
53% 17-15
73% 22-8
100% 31-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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