Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Chanticleers @ Panthers CCU @ GAST

COASTAL CAROLINA

CHANTICLEERSCCU

17-12  |  Road

76
FINAL
Tue, Feb 24 • 7:30 PM ET
GSU Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA STATE

PANTHERSGAST

10-19  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
CHANTICLEERS
0%
📊
PANTHERS
100%
CHANTICLEERS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
GEORGIA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
ChanticleersCCU (-3.5) 0 PanthersGAST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chanticleers Cover

46.0%

Panthers Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GAST +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GAST)

CCU By 1-7 points

26.2%

CCU By 8-14 points

16.9%

GAST By 1-7 points

24.3%

GAST By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
73
COASTAL CAROLINA
72
GEORGIA STATE
Simulated Score
68
COASTAL CAROLINA
72
GEORGIA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Chanticleers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 24, 2026 CCU @ GAST 76 - 71
Jan 3, 2026 GAST @ CCU 89 - 71
Feb 26, 2025 GAST @ CCU 74 - 80
Jan 11, 2025 CCU @ GAST 74 - 79
Feb 21, 2024 CCU @ GAST 71 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +25.0% more
Coastal Carolina: 5.4 vs Georgia State: 4.0
Rebounding (L5) +23.1% more
Coastal Carolina: 41.4 vs Georgia State: 31.8
Turnovers (L5) +14.6% more
Coastal Carolina: 11.8 vs Georgia State: 10.1
Field Goal % (L5) +4.1%
Coastal Carolina: 40.9% vs Georgia State: 36.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CCU Score 73.0 76
GAST Score 72.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.5 / 34.3 31.0 / 32.0
Assists 10.2 / 8.4 7.0 / 10.0
Blocks 4.0 / 5.4 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 36.8 / 40.9 42.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 82.5 / 69.1 84.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 31.8 / 41.4 36.0 / 41.0
Steals 6.7 / 3.8 4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.1 / 11.8 7.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
76%MONEY24%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
38%MONEY62%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
GAST
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCU Advantage
18-12-1 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
GAST
13-17-0 (43.3%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.6
GAST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GAST
CCU
GAST
CCU
ML
56% 18-14
41% 13-19
71% 22-9
55% 17-14
ATS
59% 19-13
38% 12-20
71% 22-9
55% 17-14
TTL
59% 19-13
75% 24-8
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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