WASHINGTON
HUSKIESWASH
13-14 | Road
79
RUTGERS
SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG
11-16 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
SCARLET KNIGHTS
0%
HUSKIES
--
SCARLET KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
RUTGERS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Rutgers)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RUTG -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RUTG)
WASH By 1-7 points
21.6%
WASH By 8-14 points
10.7%
RUTG By 1-7 points
27.2%
RUTG By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
69
WASHINGTON
Rutgers
72
RUTGERS
Simulated Score
Washington
67
WASHINGTON
Rutgers
75
RUTGERS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Scarlet Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Scarlet Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Scarlet Knights (+4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Scarlet Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o140.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 24, 2026
WASH @ RUTG
79 - 72
Feb 19, 2025
RUTG @ WASH
89 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+47.7% more
Rutgers: 16.8
vs
Washington: 11.3
Steals (L5)
+8.8% more
Rutgers: 5.6
vs
Washington: 5.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Rutgers: 33.6%
vs
Washington: 29.9%
Blocks (L5)
+40.6% more
Washington: 3.6
vs
Rutgers: 2.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WASH Score
69.0
79
RUTG Score
72.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.6 / 29.9
21.0 / 37.0
Assists
16.8 / 11.3
10.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.1 / 3.6
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 49.6
40.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
75.7 / 76.1
72.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
28.0 / 29.7
29.0 / 34.0
Steals
5.6 / 5.1
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
9.6 / 10.1
7.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WASH
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
RUTG
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WASH
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
RUTG
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -0.5
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RUTG
WASH
RUTG
WASH
ML
53%
18-16
45%
15-18
70%
23-10
66%
21-11
ATS
68%
23-11
48%
16-17
70%
23-10
66%
21-11
TTL
53%
18-16
70%
23-10
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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