Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Revolutionaries @ Explorers GW @ LAS

GEORGE WASHINGTON

REVOLUTIONARIESGW

15-12  |  Road

104
FINAL
Tue, Feb 24 • 6:30 PM ET
John Glaser Arena
View Odds Details →

LA SALLE

EXPLORERSLAS

8-19  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
REVOLUTIONARIES
0%
📊
EXPLORERS
100%
REVOLUTIONARIES --
EXPLORERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (George Washington)
RevolutionariesGW (-3.5) 0 ExplorersLAS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Revolutionaries Cover

88.5%

Explorers Cover

11.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GW -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GW)

GW By 1-7 points

20.1%

GW By 8-14 points

27.2%

LAS By 1-7 points

8.0%

LAS By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
79
GEORGE WASHINGTON
67
LA SALLE
Simulated Score
70
GEORGE WASHINGTON
72
LA SALLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Revolutionaries Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Explorers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Revolutionaries (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Explorers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.5 Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 24, 2026 GW @ LAS 104 - 77
Jan 3, 2026 LAS @ GW 55 - 77
Mar 1, 2025 LAS @ GW 60 - 71
Feb 1, 2025 GW @ LAS 67 - 73
Mar 12, 2024 GW @ LAS 60 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +27.9% more
George Washington: 14.0 vs La Salle: 10.1
Field Goal % (L5) +8.6%
George Washington: 44.9% vs La Salle: 36.3%
Free Throw % (L5) +6.9%
George Washington: 73.5% vs La Salle: 66.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.2%
George Washington: 34.0% vs La Salle: 29.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GW Score 79.0 104
LAS Score 67.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.8 / 34.0 42.0 / 45.0
Assists 10.1 / 14.0 16.0 / 24.0
Blocks 2.8 / 1.8 2.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 36.3 / 44.9 41.0 / 67.0
Free Throw % 66.6 / 73.5 75.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 39.4 / 35.3 27.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.1 / 6.6 10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 12.0 14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
93%MONEY7%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
84%MONEY16%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
45%MONEY55%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GW Advantage
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
LAS
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GW Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
LAS
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.4
LAS
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAS
GW
LAS
GW
ML
69% 22-10
63% 22-13
69% 22-10
60% 21-14
ATS
78% 25-7
69% 24-11
69% 22-10
60% 21-14
TTL
66% 21-11
60% 21-14
100% 32-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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